Wednesday 14 March 2012

OSK188 - 14 Narch 2012: Daily Research Report (English Version)

On The Platter
PADINI (FV RM1.80 – BUY) Company Update – Rising to The Occasion We had a follow up visit to Padini, which is one of our Top Buys in 2012. We continue to like this stock given its resilient performance amid a more turbulent operating environment. Despite the volatility in cotton prices and intense competition in the retail space, we are confident that it will still be able to do well thanks to its high inventory level and wider retail outlet coverage relative to its peers. Maintain BUY with a FV of RM1.80 based on 14x FY12 EPS.

REGIONAL TELECOM (OVERWEIGHT) Sector News Flash  – Lower 3G Reserve Price?

IJM (FV RM6.55  – TRADING BUY) Corporate News Flash  – Buys 20% of WCE Caretaker

Market Review
Cautiously optimistic. The FBM KLCI closed 0.73 pts  lower to 1,564.02 on continued concerns over the slowdown in China’s economy. Key corporate news today include: IJM Corporation to buy a 20% stake in West Coast Highway, TNB remains confident that the Government will resolve the gas subsidy issue soon, Ramunia has secured a RM23.6m oil and gas contract, and MMC Corporation has asked for more time to complete the proposed listing of Gas Malaysia Bhd.  On the global front,  the  Dow closed 217.97 pts higher on the back of stronger-than-anticipated consumer data points and positive results reported by large US banks for their capital adequacy stress tests. We expect our local bourse to trade positively today amid an improvement in market sentiment globally.


MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
Stocks record biggest gains of year; Dow up 218 pts
Bank stocks turbocharged a rally across the financial markets Tuesday, and all three major stock indexes posted their biggest gains of the year. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 218 pts and closed at 13,177.68, its highest level since the last day of 2007. The Nasdaq composite closed above 3,000 for the first time since Dec 2000, when dot-com stocks were collapsing. There was already plenty of good news driving the market higher Tuesday: Retail sales in Feb increased the most since Sept, and the Federal Reserve said it expected the unemployment rate to keep falling. (Bloomberg)

MAS set for growth as India JV gets clearance for take-off
Malaysian Airlines System (MAS) expects further growth potential through its involvement in the Indian aviation maintenance, repair and overhaul space through MAS GMR Aero Technic Ltd (MGAT)  – a joint venture between MAS and GMR Hyderabad International Airport Ltd. MAS senior vice president Khairuddin Hamzah said MGAT received the approval of the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) last week, enabling it to service all aircraft leased from European by Indian operators. (Malaysian Reserve)

Notion VTec buys RM17.5m land in Klang, acquires subsidiary
Notion Vtec subsidiary Notion Ventures SB (NVSB) has entered into a sale and purchase with Dulon Industries SB for the purchase of a land in Klang together with an industrial factory for RM17.5m. The proposed acquisition would allow NVSB to expand  its manufacturing operations. It is a cost effective measure contributing to enlarged economies of scale to expand and maintain the operations. (Malaysian Reserve)

Nicorp to participate in Shell LPG business buy
Naim Indah Corp (Nicorp) has been invited to participate in the purchase of Shell Malaysia liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) business and assets. Oman-based National Gas Company (NGC) recently won the bid to buy Shell Malaysia Trading SB’s LPG business for an estimated RM275m. NGC in partnership with Aspire SB set up a 40-60 special purpose vehicle to undertake the proposal. (BT)

IJM buys 20% of West Coast Expressway
IJM Corp is buying a 20% equity interest in West Coast Expressway SB (WCE) for RM6.75m. In an announcement to Bursa Malaysia, IJM said its wholly-owned subsidiary Road Builder (M) Holdings SB has entered into a share sale and purchase agreement with Prominent Xtreme SB for the 20% in WCE, consisting of 5.8m RM1 shares. In late January, WCE received an approval letter from the Public Private Partnership Unit of the Prime Minister’s Department to undertake the proposed privatization of the construction of the West Coast Expressway. The approval was based on a build-operate-transfer basis. (Financial Daily)


ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
South Korea: Unemployment rate rose to 3.7% in february
South Korea’s unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to the highest level in almost a year as college graduates entered the labor market and government job openings encouraged more people to seek work. The jobless rate rose to 3.7% in February from 3.2% the previous month, Statistics Korea said in Gwacheon today. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 11 economists was for the rate to stay at 3.2%. Policy makers are grappling with a slowing economy by supporting the job market, accelerating spending and keeping interest rates unchanged for a ninth month. The Bank of Korea said last week the economy appears not to be slowing further and will likely return to its long-term growth track, although downside risks persist because of Europe’s debt crisis and higher oil prices. (Bloomberg)

Australia: Consumer confidence slumps 5%, most in three months
Australian consumer confidence fell the most in three months after the nation’s four biggest lenders raised mortgage rates even as the central bank left the benchmark borrowing cost unchanged, a private survey showed. The sentiment index for March dropped 5% to 96.1, the lowest level since December, Westpac Banking Corp. and Melbourne Institute survey taken 5-9 March of 1,200 consumers showed today in Sydney. (Bloomberg)

EU: German investor confidence surges to a 21-month high
German investor confidence jumped to a 21-month high in March after the European Central Bank flooded financial markets with cash and the sovereign debt crisis showed signs of abating. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said today its index of investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict economic developments six months in advance, advanced to 22.3 from 5.4 in February. That’s the fourth straight increase and the highest reading since June 2010. Economists forecast a gain  to 10, according to the median of 36 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. (Bloomberg)

US: Retail sales climb by most in five months
Americans heartened by an improving labour market boosted spending at stores and malls by the most in five months, adding to signs that the world’s largest economy is gaining strength. The 1.1% advance followed a 0.6% increase in January that was larger than previously estimated, according to Commerce Department data issued yesterday in Washington. Sales rose in 11 of 13 categories, including auto dealers and clothing stores, showing gains in demand were broad based. Stocks and bond yields rose as the report indicated that the best six-month streak of employment growth since 2006 is bolstering spending even as gasoline costs rise. Job gains have not been large enough to satisfy Federal Reserve officials, who today reaffirmed a commitment to keep interest rates low. (Bloomberg)

US: Fed says labour market improves, leaves policy unchanged
Federal Reserve policy makers raised their assessment of the economy as the labour market gathers strength and refrained from new actions to lower borrowing costs. “The unemployment rate has declined notably in recent months but remains elevated,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement at the conclusion of a meeting yesterday in Washington. It also said, “strains in global financial markets have eased, though they continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook”. (Bloomberg)

Source: OSK188

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