Friday, 23 March 2012

SP Setia - Impacted by slower construction works Hold


- SP Setia’s 1QFY12 net profit came in at RM74mil which only covers 18% and 21% of our and consensus’ estimates respectively. As expected no dividends were declared for the quarter.

- Although revenue slid by 5%, earnings jumped by 19% YoY to RM74mil due to strong GP margins of 30% (previously 25%) – mainly attributable to strong selling prices and favourable product mix. 

- We believe our estimates are intact given that the group has a massive unbilled sales of RM3.9bil (1.8x FY11 revenue) and margins should also be robust as they are realising strong property prices against attractive land cost e.g. Setia Alam and Setia Eco Park's land cost at RM5-RM8psf.

- However on sequential basis, net profit dropped by 10% because of seasonal factor where construction works was affected by festive seasons. Hence we are not changing our estimates as we expect net income to rebound in the coming quarters underpinned by stronger progress billings.

- Setia broke another record where it generated highest ever new sales in a single quarter of RM933mil (versus RM735mil in 1QFY11) for 1QFY12. 

- Latest set of figures also show that Setia already chalked up a strong RM1.23bil (+23% YoY) in new sales for the first 4 months into the current fiscal year. We believe its target of RM4bil is not a challenge given that 1/3 of this has already been secured by strong takeups at KL Eco City. 

- Sales were driven by mostly from boutique offices from KL Eco City and Fulton Lane in Melbourne apart from the bread and butter projects from Setia Alam, Setia Eco Park and Setia Tropika.  

- Going forward, the group would be launching Setia Eco Glades in Cyberjaya, KL Eco City residential tower 1, 18 Woodsville – maiden Singapore venture and 11 Brook Residences Penang. 

- We maintain our HOLD rating at this juncture with our fair value unchanged at RM3.95/share.

Source: AmeSecurities 

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