Thursday, 29 March 2012

DAILY TRADING STOCKS: ManagePay Systems, mTouche Technologies


MPay’s daily chart
MPay’s share price  has to stay above the broken resistance to keep its upward bias intact. The stock  has likely completed a bottoming pattern after the strong move yesterday. To recap, the stock has been trading sideways for the past  nine  months, after seeing a sharp plunge in April-May 2011. It reached the bottom in Oct 2011 and  thereafter, the technical picture turned increasingly positive, as shown by the higher lows. A change in trend should be in store after the stock broke above the 9-month resistance level yesterday. The “Long White” candle was accompanied by a surge in volume, which  suggests firm buying interest.  Another close above RM0.20 should confirm the breakout and a purchase can be made at the current price, or preferably on pullback towards the stop-loss level  of RM0.20. A more conservative trade may  involve using the one-month low of RM0.16 as a stop instead.  The price target is RM0.27, the low of April 2011, and a strong move could see a test of the psychological RM0.30. A close back below RM0.20 today may signal a possible false break, with a close below RM0.16 as  the confirmation.  If this happens, the stock  will likely  return to its sideways trend.

mTouche’s daily chart
mTouche’s share price has to stay above the support level to keep its  upward bias  intact.  This stock is one of  the  market outperformers in the past six months, with the stock  trading at its 4-year high recently. Subsequently, the sharp rally gave way to sideways consolidation,  which is  now extending into its  fourth week.  We consider such a development as quite natural. The support level of the sideways move is now  more  clearly defined after the firmer move yesterday. The higher close nullified the negative bias of the “Long Black” candle of 27 March, affirming the “Long Lower Shadow Doji” of 13 March. The highest volume in two weeks also points to a return of buying support above the round figure of RM0.40. Thus, positions can be initiated in anticipation of the stock  making a base above  RM0.40, with a close below the support level of RM0.40 as a possible stop loss. The price target is the recent high of RM0.50 and a successful violation could see  the stock go as high as RM0.70, a measured move based on the Jan-Feb rally.  A close below RM0.40 should see it trading lower and may even spell the end of the uptrend as this will lead to the completionof a “Double Top” formation. Strong support is expected at RM0.30, which is also the high of Oct 2011.

Source: OSK188

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