Friday, 30 March 2012

HAIO (FV RM1.99 - NEUTRAL) 9MFY12 Results Review: On a Healthy Growth Path


Hai-O’s  9MFY12 results  were in line with  consensus but above  our forecasts. Revenue and net profit increased by 3% and 21.7% respectively on the back of better performance  in  the MLM division. EBIT margin  improved from 17.5% to 20.7%, thanks to better MLM sales and enhanced margins from the wholesale division. We raise our FY12 and FY13 estimates given the better results, which bump up our FV to RM1.99. Maintain NEUTRAL.

Stronger than expected. Hai-O’s revenue and net profit came in stronger at RM170m and RM24.7m, registering a decent y-o-y growth of 3% and 21.7% respectively. The better results were largely underpinned by stronger performance  at  its MLM division (revenue +4.9% y-o-y), coupled with lower R&D costs in the technology division. On q-oq basis, revenue  stood at  RM62.8m, 11.7% higher versus  RM56.2m in the preceding quarter, while earnings improved from RM7.9m to RM9.1m (+15.2%).

MLM still the pillar. The MLM division’s profit surged 18%, propelled by robust sales of its main products  as well as new products, coupled with effective incentive trip campaigns for its MLM members. We believe the growth momentum  in  the MLM division, which contributes 56.1% of total revenue, should be sustainable  moving forward in view of the  company’s enhanced  marketing strategies and aggressive recruitment drive for members. The wholesale division’s revenue trended lower by 8.5% but registered a PBT growth of 16% owing to its high margin products. The revenue and profit generated by the retail division were flattish as it rationalized its unprofitable outlets while at the same time opened more new outlets.

EBIT margin expands.  The  company’s  EBIT margin  widened  3.2% from 17.5% to 20.7%, mainly driven by higher sales from  the  MLM division, better margins from wholesale products, higher rental income and lower R&D costs in other divisions. Maintain NEUTRAL. We revise up our FY12 and FY13 forecasts by 6.2% and 7.1% respectively in light of the better reported results. Our FV is raised to RM1.99 as we roll over our valuation from FY12 to FY13 based on 12x PER. Maintain NEUTRAL given the limited upside in the share price.

Source: OSK188 

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