Thursday, 15 March 2012

OSK188 - 15 March 2012: Daily Research Report (English Version)


On The Platter
  • SOP (FV RM7.09 – BUY) Company Update: 4Q Hitch Unlikely to Resurface After SOP’s share price retreated by as much as 4.3% following its poorer than expected 4QFY11 performance, we took a closer look at its results and  sought management’s clarification. In 4QFY11, the company was hit by a lumpy refining capacity backlog in Sarawak which led to delays in CPO shipments and revenue recognition. This should, however, work to SOP’s advantage once its refinery comes on stream in 2Q. In 4Q, it also paid out higher performance-based employee compensation after a record year. As these issues should clear in 1QFY12, SOP remains our Top Malaysian Plantation Buy call.
  • MAYBANK (FV RM9.60 – BUY) Company Update: Sweating Its Branches
  • SHOUGANG CONCORD (FV HKD0.67  – TRADING BUY) Company Update: Upgraded despite Possible 2HFY11 Loss
  • AXIATA (FV RM5.80 – BUY) Corporate News Flash: Sizing Up XL Axiata
  • WCT (FV RM3.17– BUY) Corporate News Flash:  To Pay RM450m for 2.5m Sq Ft Landbank
  • XL AXIATA (FV IDR5400– NEUTRAL) Corporate News Flash: Etisalat Calls it Quits


Market Review
Still gaining grounds. After a seesaw session which saw the FBM KLCI fall to a low of 1568.41 points, the benchmark index managed to recover in the last hour to close with a 11.69 points gain at 1575.71 points. Gainers beat losers by 444 to 334. Regional bourses were mostly higher. News headlines: TA Global and Birkbeck Trust to jointly develop a hotel and residence in Vancouver, Canada with initial contribution of CAD110m each, WCT enters into conditional S&P to acquire Timor Barat Properties S/B which owns 3 parcels of land in Taman Yarl, Kuala Lumpur for RM450m, Telekom Malaysia signs High Speed Broadband agreement for delivery of HSBB services with Redtone Marketing S/B. Positive momentum should continue today with the mild gains chalked up by the Dow last night. The FBM KLCI faces resistance at 1580 points.

MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
Sunway REIT to spend RM200m n the Putra Place Sunway REIT Management SB will spend RM200m on the refurbishment of Sunway Putra Place (formerly known as The Mall). CEO Datuk Jeffrey Ng said the refurbishment will take 15 to 18 months with a projected return on investment of 12.5% to 15%. “The estimated incremental income is expected to be RM25m to RM30m annually,” he told a media briefing on the transformation plan for Sunway Putra Mall yesterday. (Financial Daily)

WCT buys land in OUG for RM450m
WCT will pay a cash consideration of RM450m to acquire the entire equity interest in Timor Barat Properties SB, which has three parcels of land totaling 23ha in the matured Overseas Union Garden (OUG) area of Kuala Lumpur. The construction and property development firm said Iris Green SB, a wholly-owned subsidiary, had entered into a conditional share sale agreement to acquire Timor Barat from Eng Lian Enterprise SB, Shen & Sons SB and AMC SB. (Financial Daily) Please see accompanying report TRC Synergy gets RM36m Dayabumi facelift projectConstruction and property developer TRC Synergy’s wholly–owned subsidiary, Trans Resources Corp SB, has received a construction and alteration contract from Kompleks Dayabumi SB for a sum of RM36m. The contract will involve construction, alteration and additional works to the existing Kompleks Dayabumi and is expected to contribute positively to TRC’s earnings in the future, the company said in an announcement to Bursa Malaysia yesterday. (Malaysian Reserve) Please see yesterday’s report

DRB-Hicom gets nod for Proton stake and may retain Lotus following takeover of Proton
DRB-HICOM yesterday received its shareholders’ nod to acquire the 42.7% stake in Proton Holdings held by Khazanah Nasional which, consequently, will trigger a mandatory general offer (MGO) for all the remaining Proton stakes not owned by the group. The group expects the acquisition to be completed within seven days, after which, Proton would become a 50.01%-held, subsidiary. Also, the company may retain shareholding in British sports and car manufacturer Group Lotus Plc. Malaysia’s leading automotive player intends to continue capitalising on Lotus’ renowned automotive powertrain and handling engineering development, said an industry source. (Malaysian Reserve) Please see accompanying report

AirAsia Thai IPO expected to raise RM500m
The listing of AirAsia Thai is expected to raise THB5bn (RM500m) and will likely take place in Bangkok by early July this year, while the prospectus will be out in May, said sources close to the deal. Tentatively, the shares will be prices at THB5 (RM0.50) apiece. It is learnt that investment bankers handling the deal are flying to Bangkok today to finalise details of the initial Public Offering (IPO) exercise. The listing was supposed to take place last year, but was delayed due to the flooding in Thailand in October. (StarBiz)

TM’s HSBB service in economically viable areas soon
Telekom Malaysia (TM), which has been progressively rolling out high speed broadband (HSBB), will introduce the service to commercially-driven areas beyond 2012. TM group CEO Datuk Seri Zamzamzairani Mohd Isa said its main priority now was to fulfill its obligation to provide 1.3m premises passed by year-end under its agreement with the Government. (StarBiz)

ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
Euro: Italy keeps sales at short end even as returns soar
Italy is shunning sales of longer- maturity bonds even as they offer investors the best returns in the world. The longest-dated securities Italy has issued since 1 Jan are due in 2022, sooner than the 2026 and 2040 bonds sold in the first quarter of last year. It has increased offerings of debt maturing in less than two years to take advantage of demand bolstered by three-year loans from the European Central Bank to help quell the European sovereign-debt crisis. The yield difference between two-year notes and 30-year bonds widened last week to a more than 2.5-year high of 392 basis points. (Bloomberg)

Euro: Dutch austerity demands risk backfiring on Premier
Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte’s demand for budget cuts in debt-laden southern Europe may backfire as the leader of one of the four  remaining AAA euro countries struggles to narrow a bigger-than-planned deficit. His coalition must find EUR9bn (USD11.8bn) in budget cuts this year, equal to 1.5% of the nation’s gross domestic product, to meet European rules and protect the top credit grade that France and Austria lost in January. Rutte, who led demands that Greece deepen spending cuts and overhaul its economy in exchange for a rescue, is squeezed by mounting domestic dissent and a campaign by nationalist leader Geert Wilders to exit the euro. (Bloomberg)

UK: Fitch puts UK debt on negative outlook days away from budget
Fitch Ratings said Britain risks losing its top investment grade because of its limited ability to deal with shocks, days before Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne will present his annual budget. Fitch changed the outlook on Britain to “negative” from “stable,” indicating a “slightly greater” than 50% chance that the AAA rating will be reduced within two years, the company said in a statement in London yesterday, citing the weak economic recovery, high debt levels and threats from Europe’s debt crisis. Osborne will meet coalition partners later this week to agree on a budget he will present on 21 March. (Bloomberg)

UK: Unemployment rose more than forecast in February
UK jobless claims rose more than economists forecast in February and a  broader measure of unemployment remained at the highest rate in 16 years, underscoring the weakness of the labor market even as the economy shows some signs of recovery. Unemployment-benefit claims climbed by 7,200 from January to 1.612m, a 12th straight monthly increase, the Office for National Statistics said today in London. The median forecast of 28 economists in a Bloomberg News Survey was for a gain of 5,000. Unemployment measured by International Labour Organization methods held at 8.4% in the three  months through January, the highest since 1995. (Bloomberg)

US: Bernanke says ‘frustratingly slow’ US growth impedes lending
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the weak US economy impedes efforts by banks to make profitable loans.  “Despite some recent signs of improvement, the recovery has been frustratingly slow, constraining opportunities for profitable lending,” Bernanke said. The Federal Open Market Committee added yesterday that economic conditions would still warrant holding the benchmark interest rate near zero at least through late 2014. Community banks are “facing difficult challenges,” Bernanke said. “Their close ties to local economies are, on balance, a source of strength, but a drawback of those ties is that the fortunes of communities and their banks tend to rise and fall together.” (Bloomberg)

US: Growth in US to strengthen as jobs lift consumers
The world’s largest economy will strengthen through 2012 as employment gains give Americans the means to withstand rising fuel costs, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Gross domestic product will climb at a 2.5% annual rate in the final three months of the year, up from 2% this quarter, according to the median forecast of 71 economists surveyed from  9 to 13 March. For all of 2012, the US may expand 2.2%, accelerating from 1.7% last year. More jobs, increasing share prices, improving confidence and stability in housing will bolster the expansion. At the same time, unemployment will be slow to retreat,  averaging 7.3% in 2014, showing why Federal Reserve policy makers yesterday said interest rates will remain low for at least the next two years. (Bloomberg)

Source: OSK188

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