Wednesday 7 March 2012

KimLun (BUY; FV: RM2.07, Last Closing: RM1.53)


Contract flows picking  up momentum. The announcement  came in as a positive surprise to us, with KimLun’s YTD jobs secured standing tall at RM445m. As we step into 2QCY12, KimLun has already exceeded our expectations by achieving 74.2% of our orderbook replenishment forecast of RM600m p.a. for both FY12 and FY13. Nonetheless, we make no changes to our assumptions for now, although there is a potential upside bias should the group secure the supply of tunnel lining segment for the KV MRT SBK line as well as some possible job flows from the Singapore MRT on new line expansions.

Keep an eye out for tunnel lining segment. Earlier last month, KimLun entered into a sale and purchase agreement to acquire a parcel of industrial land in Seremban for RM15.5m to construct a new precast  plant. This expansion will prime the company for potentially securing some tunnel lining segment contracts in the underground portion of the MRT SBK line. We expect its share price to continue to trend upwards, pending the official award of the tunneling portion of the said line by MRT Corp come April this year. We understand that the Gamuda-MMC JV,  which we believe  is  likely to  snag  the tunneling portion, had visited KimLun’s existing precast plants to conduct quality control checks. Over the medium term, we expect to hear more from the Iskandar region while in the long run, we believe KimLun will likely gain a stronger foothold in Singapore, as we understand that a 35km underground cable tunnel is likely to be awarded this year, with the 50km Thompson Easter Region line also in the pipeline. 

BUY. Maintain our BUY call at an unchanged FV of RM2.07 based on 10x FY12 PER. We continue to like KimLun given its strong execution track record, sturdy job wins YTD, as well as its increasing presence in the Johor and Singapore region. Thus, we view it as the best small cap proxy for Malaysia’s construction sector.

Source: OSK188

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