We reaffirm our BUY rating on Sime Darby (Sime), with our
fair value of RM10.60/share currently under review with an upside bias, pending
a meeting with management.
It has been reported that Sime is looking to acquire the
1,400 MW coal-fired Jimah power plant in Port Dickson which is valued at above
RM1.1bil. The plant is reported to have been up for sale for quite some time
and several parties, including Malakoff, a unit of MMC Corp, had shown interest
previously. There were also plans by the owner to list the plant although it
did not materialise.
The power plant is owned by Jimah Energy Ventures Holdings
Sdn Bhd, of which 70% is owned by the Negeri Sembilan royal family – under
Jimah Teknik Sdn Bhd – and the remaining shareholders are TNB (20%-stake) and
Jimah O&M Sdn Bhd (10%).
The plant started operations in 2009 and is a third
generation independent power producer with a 25-year concession to supply power
to TNB.
We are not surprised that Sime is looking to acquire power
plants given that it needs to grow its Energy & Utilities (E&U) division,
having sold its oil & gas business.
We understand talks are at preliminary stage and Sime is currently doing the
due diligence. The group is looking at
other power plants within Malaysia as well.
To recap, in 1HFY12, the power unit was the main contributor
to E&U’s EBIT, accounting for 76% –
albeit there was a one-off recognition of deferred revenue to the tune of
RM99mil during 2QFY12 from the power tariff revision. We estimate E&U to
contribute about 5% and 3% to its revenue and operating profit in FY12F,
respectively.
We continue to like Sime as the company is the most liquid
proxy to the plantation sector, which accounts for 61% of its FY11’s EBIT.
Valuations are also attractive, currently trading at CY12F PE of 16x which is below
its 3-year average of 17x.
Source: AmeSecurities
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