Monday, 9 April 2012

TELEKOM MALAYSIA (FV: RM5.70 - BUY) Corporate News Flash: Super Speed Me


TM has introduced a new marketing campaign to encourage more Streamyx users to upgrade to Unifi  as well as to spur existing Streamxy users to trade-up to a 1Mbps  or faster plan. At a function over the weekend, CEO Dato’ Zamzamzairani Mohd Isa said that TM  has allocated RM2.5bn in capex for 2012, mostly  for new businesses  as well as content and applications for Unifi.

OUR TAKE
RM2.5bn capex for FY12. The capex target is consistent with its guidance of RM2.5bn–RM2.6bn post-FY11 results announcement. We believe this  amount  comprises: (i) business-as-usual (BAU) capex of RM1.1bn–RM1.2bn, and (ii) HSBB capex of about RM1.4bn. Note that HSBB capex is peaking this year as TM has almost attained the 1.3m target premises to be passed for 2012 under the agreement with the government.  Management expects  FY12  BAU capex to be slightly higher than the RM1.14bn for FY11 as it is on a drive to replace older assets  as well as introducing a new billing system. TM spent RM1.4bn for HSBB last year, with its portion of the spending (net of government subsidy) at RM712m. The remaining subsidy from the government amounts to some RM140m.

Super Speed Me. Under its latest marketing campaign which is valid until 30 June, TM is offering existing Streamyx subscribers the option to upgrade to Unifi with the benefit of maintaining their current subscription for 3 months. The same offer applies to current Streamyx subscribers upgrading to a 1Mbps  of faster  plan. The promotion for Streamyx is similar to its reasonably successful ‘Super Upgrade’ promotion offered 2 years ago to lure lower speed users to upgrade to a 1Mbps line which now makes up close to 60% of its  1.7m Streamyx users. We gather from TM that Unifi subscribers have surpassed 315,000 at end-1QFY12, marking  another record  in terms of subscriber addition and topping the 76k net-adds in 4QFY11.  More than 30% of the new subscribers come from its existing TM Streamyx user base.

Maintain BUY based on FV of RM5.70. TM remains one of our top picks for exposure to the sector in addition to Axiata. Key share price re-rating catalysts are: (i) additional capital management (ii) stronger-than-expected earnings, and (iii) improved Unifi and wholesale contributions.  

Source: OSK188

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