Wednesday, 18 April 2012

OSK188 - 18 April 2012: DAILY RESEARCH REPORT


On The Platter
EDUCATION (OVERWEIGHT) Sector Update: Laying The Path of Enlightenment
To determine the long-term sustainability of the sector, we take a look at the latest progress of some of the government initiatives under the ETP as well as the current situation for education providers in Malaysia. We also make some brief comparisons with developed economies to gauge the underlying growth potential for the local education sector as Malaysia aspires to become a high-income nation by 2020. All in, we maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector with SEG International (BUY, FV: RM2.17) and Prestariang (BUY, FV: RM1.48) being our top buys. 

MUDAJYA (FV RM2.66 – NEUTRAL) Corporate News Flash: Uncertainties Over Coal Supply

Market Review
Cautious sentiment expected. The  FBM KLCI index closed a touch lower yesterday, although the number of gainers outnumbered losers by a small margin. Among the key corporate headlines for today  are: CIMB inking a deal soon to acquire a 60% stake in Philippines’ Bank of Commerce (BOC) and the government reportedly imposing a no layoff condition for the takeover of Penang Port. Overnight, the Dow muscled itself above the 13,000 mark on the back of increased appetite for Spanish bonds and heady gains made by technology stocks, with Apple reversing its 5-day losing streak. While there is some upside bias  for the FBM KLCI,  we think that  the prevailing cautious sentiment should lead to further range-bound trading in the short term.

MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
US stocks post biggest rally in one month amid global optimism
US stocks rose, giving benchmark indexes the biggest rallies in a month, as higher forecasts from the International Monetary Fund and gains in Spanish bonds overshadowed declines in housing starts and factory production. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.6% to 1,390.78, after falling 1.3% in two days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 194.13 pts, or 1.5%, to 13,115.54. The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 1.8% to 3,042.82. About 6bn shares changed hands on US exchanges, or 11% below the three-month  average. (Bloomberg)

Malaysia imposes ‘no-layoff’ condition for port takeover?
The Federal government is understood to have imposed a condition, with regards to Penang Port SB’s takeover – that any party planning to take over the port operator must not lay off any of its workforce for a minimum period of five years. “The condition is non-negotiable. Any parties which intend to take over the port, must comply with the condition, even before they present their financial plan,” said a source. BT was told that at least two parties are interested in taking over Penang Port. “One is a party led by a China-owned entity, while the other is MMC Corp Bhd. But, to date, no decision has been made as the due diligence process is still being carried out,” said the source. Penang Port is 100% owned by the Minister of Finance Inc. (BT)

Wijaya in talks to start logging in Papua
Wijaya Baru Global clarified yesterday that it is negotiating with interested parties to start timber extraction and thereafter plant oil palm in Papua Province, Indonesia. Tan Sri Ling Chiong Ho’s Sarawak Oil Palms is also reportedly proposing a JV to help plant the felled jungle with oil palm trees, a venture that could eventually cost some RM306m. (Financial Daily)

IGB plans to raise RM700m from retail property trust
IGB Corp, the third largest property developer by market value, plans to  raise about RM700m by selling shares in a retail property trust, said two people familiar with the matter. IGB’s trust would initially hold two Kuala Lumpur shopping malls  – the Garden’s Mall and Mid Valley Megamall  – which IGB would acquire from its subsidiary KrisAssets Holdings. (StarBiz)

Ingens confirms bagging RM125m job
Ingenuity Solutions (Ingens) has obtained a RM125m contract to be the sole distributor of WiMAX modems for broadband player Packet One Networks (M) SB (P1). The company said it would supply P1 4G WiMAX modems to 858 P1 authorized resellers throughout Malaysia. Prior to this agreement, P1 undertook the distribution of its 4G modems internally. (StarBiz)


ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
MIER revises upwards growth outlook to 4.2%
The Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) has revised upwards its growth outlook this year, from 3.7% to 4.2%, on improving consumer and business confidence levels in the first quarter. Executive director Dr Zakariah Abdul Rasheed said improved production and sales numbers are expected to follow suit in the second quarter. (BT)

India: Cuts key rates as growth risks trump inflation
India slashed its benchmark interest rate by a greater-than-forecast half a percentage point, seeking to bolster growth with the first reduction since 2009. Inflation might limit the room for further cuts, the central bank said. Governor Duvvuri Subbarao lowered the repurchase rate to 8% from 8.5%, the Reserve Bank of India said. The outcome was predicted by  three of 25 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Seventeen expected a 0.25 percentage-point cut and the rest predicted no change. (Bloomberg)

Japan: Will provide USD60bn to expand IMF crisis funding
Japan said it will provide USD60bn to the International Monetary Fund’s effort to expand its resources and shield the global economy against any deepening of Europe’s debt crisis. Finance Minister Jun Azumi unveiled the commitment in speaking to reporters in Tokyo before semiannual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington 20-22 April. Azumi said he hopes for an early agreement among Group of 20 members, who will also gather in Washington, on contributions to the IMF. (Bloomberg)

EU: Euro-area March inflation rate exceeds estimate on energy
European consumer prices increased at a faster pace than initially estimated in March, driven by energy costs, complicating the European Central Bank’s task as it tries to push the inflation rate below its 2% limit. Inflation in the 17-nation euro region held at 2.7% for a fourth month, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said. That’s higher than the estimate of 2.6% published on 30 March. (Bloomberg)

US: Factories cool for first time in four months
Production at US factories dropped in March for the first time in four months as the industry cooled following the strongest surge in three decades. Manufacturing, which makes up about 75% of industrial output, decreased 0.2% last month as appliance and furniture makers cut back, data from the Federal Reserve showed. The decline followed a revised 3.4% gain from December through February that marked the biggest three-month jump since March 1984. (Bloomberg)

US: Housing starts in US unexpectedly fall to five-month low
Builders began work on fewer homes than forecast in March, signalling a sustained industry recovery will take time to get underway. Housing starts dropped 5.8% to a 654,000 annual rate, less than the lowest estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and the least since October, Commerce Department figures showed. The slump was led by the volatile multifamily category, which at the same time showed a jump in permits, a proxy for future construction. (Bloomberg)

IMF Raises Global Forecast for First Time Since Early 2011
The International Monetary Fund raised its global growth forecast for the first time in more than a year, with the US boosting the outlook while recent improvements remain “very fragile.” The world economy will expand  3.5% this year, compared with a January projection of 3.3%, the Washington-based IMF said in its World Economic Outlook. It sees growth of 4.1% in 2013, up from 4.0%. It raised its forecasts for the US to gains of 2.1% this year and 2.4% in 2013. (Bloomberg)

Source: OSK188

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