Tuesday, 17 April 2012

OSK188 - 17 April 2012: DAILY RESEARCH REPORT


On The Platter
MSC (FV RM5.60 – BUY) Initiating Coverage: Tin is in Malaysia Smelting Corporation (MSC), one of the world’s leading integrated producers of tin metal products, is set to derive steady income from its custom tin  smelting and mining operations in Malaysia and Indonesia. That said, the group’s long-term value will be enhanced by efforts to acquire new tin assets and divest its remaining non-tin assets. Assuming the worst-case scenario for its foreign mining concessions, as well as an aggressive WACC for its tin smelting and mining DCF and a moderate BV on its non-tin business, we arrive at a SOP-based FV of RM5.60. We initiate coverage on MSC with a BUY rating.

ARMADA (FV: RM4.37 – NEUTRAL) Corporate News Flash: Secures RM200m Lukoil Job

GENP (FV: RM10.13 – BUY) Corporate News Flash: Enlarges Indonesian Footprint

NOTION (FV: RM2.41  –TRADING BUY) Corporate News Flash:  Making Inroads in China


Market Review
Heads south. The FBM KLCI shed 5.61 pts to end trading at 1,597.51 following renewed concerns over the eurozone crisis  that dampened  the global investment  sentiment. Today’s key headlines include: the Securities Commission has started investigations into alleged financial irregularities of Xian Leng Holdings as PricewaterhouseCoopers found that the company could not account for RM85.7m set aside to build ponds, and IGB Corp Bhd’s unit Kris Assets Holding Bhd has reiterated plans to set up a real estate investment trust (REIT) comprising two shopping malls, The Gardens Mall and Mid Valley Megamall, to be listed in Bursa Malaysia. Meanwhile, MMC-Gamuda JV SB may subcontract 4km of the My Rapid Transit (MRT) tunnelling works to foreign parties, Bumi Armada bags USD200m Lukoil EPIC contract and CIMB Group Holdings Bhd will sign a deal soon to buy 60% of San Miguel Corp’s unlisted banking arm. On the global front, the US markets closed mix while the price of crude oil closed higher yesterday. The price of crude oil was up by USD0.73 to close at USD103.19/barrel.

MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
Bumi Armada unit gets USD200m pipeline contract from Russia’s Lukoil
Bumi Armada's indirect unit Bumi Armada Caspian LLC has secured a USD200mil contract from Russia's OAO Lukoil for a pipeline project in the  Caspian Sea. It said on Monday the contract involved the engineering, procurement, installation and pre-commissioning of subsea in-field and inter-field pipelines for the Filanovsky field in the Russian sector of the Caspian Sea. Bumi Armada said the completion period of the contract was estimated at 32 months and to be substantially completed by end-2014. (StarBiz) Please see accompanying report

IGB proposes REIT, comprising The Gardens Mall, Mid Valley
IGB Corp Bhd has proposed to set up and  list a real estate investment trust (REIT) on the Main Market, comprising of two malls in Kuala Lumpur. It said on Monday the initial properties would comprise of The Gardens Mall – which is eight-storey retail mall – and Mid Valley Megamall, which is a five-storey retail mall with one mezzanine floor. These properties are currently owned by IGB's subsidiary, KrisAssets. “In conjunction with the proposed REIT establishment and listing, IGB has today acquired a newly established subsidiary, IGB REIT Management SB, to act as the proposed management company for IGB REIT,” it said.  (StarBiz)

TSM Global accepts takeover offer from West River Capital
TSM Global has agreed to the proposed takeover offer for its shares at RM1.25 a shares from West River Capital SB (WRC) and the joint offerors, which hold a 28.1% stake. TSM Global said on Monday it was not seeking an alternative offer following the voluntary general offer (VGO). The acceptance deadline expired at 5pm on Monday after it was extended from 6 April. To recap, WRC and the joint offerers – Tzel Capital SB, KYM SB, Cheong Chan Holdings SB, Sierra Indah SB, Datuk Lim Kheng Yew, Lim Tze Thean and Melissa Lim Su Lin – had made a takeover offer for TSM on 28 Feb. (StarBiz)

Khazanah plans USD1.5bn healthcare IPO
Malaysia’s state investor Khazanah Nasional is expected to list its healthcare assets here and in Singapore in the second half of the year, a deal that could fetch USD1.5bn (RM4.6bn), said two sources with direct knowledge of the deal. The dual listing could be the fourth-biggest initial public offering (IPO) in the city state’s history and Malaysia’s second-largest this year after the planned listing of plantation group Felda Global Venture Holdings. A source said the listing was  set for June or July, with pre-marketing to start next month. Another  source said Khazanah was still making acquisitions “to bulk up the IPO”. (BT)

MMC-Gamuda to subcontract 4km of tunnelling works
MMC-Gamuda Joint Venture SB is looking to subcontract 4km of the My Rapid Transit (MRT) tunneling works to foreign parties, said sources. A source told The Edge Financial Daily that the consortium would subcontract a 4km stretch of the total 9.5km MRT tunneling works to foreign firms and would also lease the machines to them. The source said the subcontract would allow MMC-Gamuda to focus on the more challenging karstic limestone formation which dominates the ground between Pavilion and the south portal at Maluri, Cheras. (Financial Daily)

SC starts probe into Xian Leng
The Securities Commission (SC) Malaysia has started investigations into alleged financial irregularities at publicly listed ornamental fish breeder Xian Leng Holdings. As reported earlier, troubles at Xian Leng surfaced when a forensic audit by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) Advisory Services founds that the company could not account for RM85.7m set aside to build ponds. PwC was engaged in October by Xian Leng to investigate alleged irregularities in capital expenditure incurred by its wholly-owned subsidiary Xian Leng Trading SB and Xian LengAcquatic (Kluang) SB, over a seven-year period from 1 Feb 2011 to 31 Jan 2008. (Financial Daily)

ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
India: RBI signals fastest BRIC inflation constrains rate cuts
India's central bank said price pressures must be restrained even as policy needs to shift to help growth, signaling that elevated inflation will limit the magnitude of interest-rate cuts forecast. “Monetary policy has to recognize the need for keeping inflation expectations anchored in an environment of significant upside risks to inflation, while shifting the balance of policy to arrest the deceleration in growth momentum,” the Reserve Bank of India said yesterday in a review of the economy ahead of its rate decision in Mumbai due today. (Bloomberg)

EU: Seeks bigger IMF war chest on Spanish concerns
European officials travel to Washington this week seeking a bigger global war chest to combat the debt crisis as Spain’s government battles to quell renewed market turmoil over its finances. Three weeks after European leaders unveiled emergency euro-area funding exceeding the symbolic USD1trn mark, concerns about Spain’s position have ratcheted the nation’s borrowing costs to the highest levels this year. Crisis-fighting resources will dominate talks at the International Monetary Fund’s spring meeting in Washington from 20-22 April. (Bloomberg)

World: Kim is chosen to head World Bank, extending US monopoly
Jim Yong Kim was chosen to be president of the World Bank, becoming the first physician and Asian-American to head the lender after emerging markets failed to rally around a challenger to the US monopoly on the job. The World Bank board of directors said it chose Dartmouth College President Kim to succeed Robert Zoellick, whose term ends 30 June. (Bloomberg)

US: Retail sales climb more than forecast on jobs
Retail sales in the US rose more than forecast in March as Americans snapped up everything from cars and furniture to clothes and electronics. The 0.8% gain was almost three times as large as projected and followed a 1% advance in February, Commerce Department figures showed. An improving job market is giving households confidence to sustain spending in the face of higher gasoline costs, boosting sales at chains such as Gap Inc. and Target Corp. Strengthening consumer demand raises the odds that the world’s largest economy will weather a recession in Europe and slower growth in China. (Bloomberg)

US: Confidence among homebuilders fell in April to a three-month low
The National Association of Home Builders/ Wells Fargo index of builder confidence decreased to 25 this month from 28 in March, the Washington-based group said yesterday. Economists projected no change in the index, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. (Bloomberg)

US: Companies boosted inventories in February as sales rose
Companies in the US increased inventories in February as sales picked up, indicating factories will probably keep receiving orders as businesses rebuild stocks. The 0.6% rise followed a revised 0.8% advance the prior month, the Commerce Department reported yesterday in Washington. The median projection in a Bloomberg News survey called for a 0.6% gain. Sales climbed 0.7% after a 0.4% gain in January. (Bloomberg)

Source: OSK188

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