Friday, 20 April 2012

OSK188 - 20 April 2012: DAILY RESEARCH REPORT


On The Platter
AEONCR (FV RM9.98 – BUY) FY12 Results Review: More Solid Earnings in Store
AEON Credit’s (ACSM) FY12 earnings beat consensus and our full-year forecasts by 17.5% and 10.1% respectively. Revenue and net profit surged  27.7% and 50.7% y-o-y on better showing in all its business segments. Asset quality was largely preserved although the CAR declined to 21.8% from 24.0% in the previous year  – but still well above the required 16.0%  - while NPLs dipped 14 bps to 1.80%. The  company has proposed a 16.8 sen single tier final dividend, bringing the FY12 dividends to 30.0 sen. Maintain BUY, with a higher fair value of RM9.98, pegged to 10x FY13 EPS vs 9x previously, on ACSM’s consistent growth and bright prospects ahead.

HAIO (FV RM2.03  – NEUTRAL) Company Update:  A Breath of Life From New Salt Product

KPJ (FV RM5.84 – BUY) Corporate News Flash: Heading For Miri


Market Review
Investors stay sidelined. FBM KLCI  eased  2.24 pts  to  1,596.62 as investors  turned cautious on regional markets’ losses amid fresh concerns over the Eurozone debt crisis. Losers outpaced gainers 429 to 281, while 350 counters were unchanged.  Today’s headlines are Bank Negara governor  Tan Sri Zeti Akhtar Aziz said  the Malaysian economy is set for almost 5% growth in 2012, the Felda co-op votes in favour of FGVH’s listing, sources said Malaysia Airlines may need to re-engage with its employees before changing  its business plan, Naza plans to produce big bikes locally, Miti confirms  the appointment of Boston Consulting Group to study  the  entire steel sector to address increasing petitions among the players, and Bursa posts flat 1Q earnings on lower revenue. Overnight, the DJIA  fell  68.65 pts, or 0.5%,  to  12,964.10, as disappointing economic data and unease over Europe offset the positive corporate results. We expect another uninspiring today for the local bourse pending fresh leads.


MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
KPF ‘yes’ to Felda share transfer
Koperasi Permodalan Felda (KPF) voted overwhelmingly in favour of a corporate restructuring that will pave the way for the listing of Felda Global Ventures (FGVH). KPF holds a 51% stake in Felda Holdings, which controls all of the domestic agriculture businesses and other plantation-related business, while FGVH holds the remainder. KPF delegates yesterday voted in favour of transferring its 51% interest in Felda Holdings to FGVH. Felda Holdings will thus become a wholly-owned subsidiary of FGVH, which in turn will be 51%-owned by KPF and 49% held by the government. Felda Holdings made RM614.2m in profits in 2010 while FGVH made RM287.3m. (Financial Daily)

New HP guidelines hit Proton
Proton recorded a 14% y-o-y and 10% q-o-q dip in car sales in 1Q2012, attributing the decline to stricter Bank Negara (BNM) hire-purchase (HP) guidelines introduced in January 2012. Perodua also indicated the BNM new guidelines as the likely reason for its 11% drop in y-o-y sales. The new HP guidelines have made it harder for car buyers to get their loan applications approved with lower loan amounts. The entry-level segment customers are now faced with higher loan rejections and will potentially move to lower-priced cars, such as used cars or basic variants of A-segment models. (Malaysian Reserve)

Slower growth for local adex
The local advertising expenditure (adex) growth in Malaysia this year is expected to moderate slightly by 2% to reach an estimated RM12bn. Last year’s growth was 12%. Cautious market sentiment and growing focus on social media are said to be the main causes for the slower growth, said Media Specialist Association president Ranganathan Somanathan. The area growing the fastest are digital and pay-TV ads. Ranganathan said more marketers today are starting to explore the earned media space, in which they have to earn their audience, as opposed to the paid media space where they pay to engage audiences. (Malaysian Reserve)

Ta Ann proposes bonus issue
Ta Ann has proposed to undertake a 1-for-5 bonus issue of up to 61.79m shares. The proposed bonus issue would be implemented by capitalizing up to RM61.79m from the company’s retained earnings reserve. The bonus issue is expected to be completed in 2Q this year. (Financial Daily)


ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
Philippines: Halts interest-rate cuts as growth outlook gains
The Philippines kept interest rates unchanged, halting after two consecutive cuts as a recovery in exports lessened the need for policy makers to add stimulus to the economy. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas held the rate it pays lenders for overnight deposits  at 4%, according to a statement yesterday. Asian central banks are juggling the need to boost economies hurt by Europe’s debt crisis and slowing Chinese growth with increasing pressure to contain inflation fanned by elevated oil prices.  (Bloomberg)

Japan: Fastest export growth in a year boosts outlook
Japan reported the fastest export growth in a year and a smaller-than-expected trade deficit, aiding prospects of a sustained recovery in the world’s third- biggest economy. Boosted by car exports to the US, outbound shipments rose 5.9% in March from a year earlier. Comparisons are distorted by the earthquake in March 2011. The results support the International Monetary Fund’s estimate earlier this week that Japan’s economy may expand as much as 2% this year, boosted by reconstruction spending. (Bloomberg)

India: Trade deficit surged to record last year, pressuring rupee
India’s trade deficit widened 56% in the fiscal year through March to a record USD184.9bn, adding pressure on the rupee, government data showed. Merchandise shipments climbed 21  percent to USD303.7bn in the 12-month period, Rahul Khullar, the top bureaucrat in the commerce ministry said yesterday. Imports advanced 32.1% to USD488.6bn. The trade gap in 2010- 2011 was USD118.7bn. The shortfall in India’s current account, the broadest measure of trade, was USD19.6bn in the three months through December, prompting the central bank to say it’s unsustainable.  (Bloomberg)

Global: Lagarde Gets USD320bn to boost IMF coffers, expects more
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said she expects more contributions after landing pledges of about USD320bn in her campaign for bigger reserves to combat threats to global growth.“I look at this pot of money as an umbrella,” Lagarde said on Bloomberg Television yesterday. “There are clouds on the horizon.” Japan, Denmark and Switzerland are among the countries to rally this week to Lagarde’s call for a bigger lending capacity beyond the current USD380bn to shield the world economy against any deepening of Europe’s debt turmoil. (Bloomberg)

EU: Italian, Spanish bonds fall on concern debt crisis Is worse
Italian and Spanish bonds led declines among Europe’s higher-yielding government securities amid concern the regional debt crisis is worsening.  Italy’s 10-year yields climbed for a second day after a government report showed industrial orders fell more than economists forecast and the Finance Ministry said debt-servicing costs will increase. French bonds dropped after Citigroup Inc. said it expects the nation’s credit rating to be cut over the next two to three years. German bunds advanced as investors sought the safest assets. Spain and France both raised the amounts they targeted at debt auctions today. (Bloomberg)

US: Jobless claims signal growth may moderate
More Americans than forecast filed claims for jobless benefits and sales of  previously owned homes unexpectedly dropped, indicating the almost three-year-old economic expansion may be moderating.  Jobless claims fell by 2,000 to 386,000 in the week ended 14 April from a revised 388,000 the prior period, Labor Department figures showed yesterday in Washington. (Bloomberg)

US: Consumer confidence rises to match four-year high
Household confidence improved last week to match the highest level in four years as more Americans said their finances were in better shape. The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index was minus 31.4 in the period ended 15 April, compared with minus 32.8 over the previous seven days. The reading equaled that from two weeks earlier as the best since March 2008. Nonetheless, the monthly expectations measure fell from a one-year high, showing concern remains that too many Americans are still unemployed. (Bloomberg)

US:  Previously owned home sales unexpectedly fell in March
Sales of previously owned US homes in March unexpectedly fell for the third time in the last four months, showing an uneven recovery in the housing market.  Purchases dropped 2.6% to a 4.48m annual rate from 4.6m in February, the National Association of Realtors reported yesterday. Residential real estate remains the economy’s soft spot, challenged by stricter lending standards, lower home values and the threat of more foreclosures. An improved labor market and mortgage rates near historic lows have yet to  stoke bigger gains in demand. (Bloomberg)

Source: OSK188

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