Tuesday, 17 April 2012

DAILY TRADING STOCK: Kumpulan Hartanah S'gor, KNM Group


KHSB’s daily chart
KHSB may trade higher after completing a bottom yesterday. The stock has been consolidating for the past 2 months,  possibly correcting the rally of  Sept-Jan. The downward momentum eased considerably in the past 2 weeks as it has traded sideways in a tight range of RM0.50-RM0.53.  The consolidation may have ended yesterday after the stock closed above the RM0.53 resistance level. The daily RSI is also in oversold territory as it has printed the lowest figure since the start of  the  rally in Sept 2011. Thus, a new  up-leg may have started and purchases can be made above RM0.53 with a stop loss on close below  the  psychological RM0.50.  Expect resistance at the recent highs of RM0.66 and RM0.80, but look for a test of psychological RM1.00 if both levels are violated convincingly. The trade may not work out should it close below RM0.50 and weakness is confirmed on a violation of RM0.43, which may signal the end of the rally.

KNM’s daily chart
KNM’s share price  may  rally  further  after closing the highest in almost a month. There is no doubt that the stock is on a long-term downtrend, as seen from the series of lower highs since early 2008.However, buying strength was seen in the stock and this may lead to at least a short-term rally. It can be seen from the failure of the stock to violate the 3-month low of RM0.83 despite  testing this level twice.  The short-term low of RM0.83 is likely confirmed by yesterday’s “Long White” candle. This was also accompanied by the highest volume in 2 months, which  suggests firm buying interest.Thus, purchases can be made above RM0.90 with a  close below RM0.90 as  a  stop loss. A more conservative trader may opt for a close below last week’s low of RM0.845 as  a  stop loss instead. Given the downtrend,  the price target is the psychological RM1.00 and RM1.05, both  being  Fibonacci levels of the Feb-April decline. The next resistance is RM1.15 and a violation  of which may signal the end of the downtrend. The upside bias is nullified if  the stock closes below RM0.845, with a close below  the  December-low of RM0.83 as  the  confirmation. This should lead to a continuation of the long term downtrend.

Source: OSK188

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