Tuesday, 10 April 2012

OSK188 - 10 Apr 2012: DAILY RESEARCH REPORT


On The Platter
TELECOMMUNICATION (NEUTRAL) Sector Update: IPTV Battle Lines Drawn The battle for viewership and eyeballs is heating up within Malaysia’s nascent IPTV space. TM recently added fresh content to HyppTV, its IPTV service offered together with Unifi. Asian Broadcasting Network (ABN), a cable pay-tv operator is slated to roll out its service in 2Q2012, taking on Astro which is reportedly seeking to re-list. We expect the IPTV theme to pick-up in support of the triple-play propositions offered by TM and Maxis as broadband becomes increasingly commoditized. TM is well placed to benefit from the shift as it has crafted a good strategy to build up its internet and data businesses, and is executing well on Unifi. We think Astro’s homecoming IPO will spice up the convergent theme in the telco industry and incite talks of a merger with Maxis again. TM presents one of the best ways to play the convergent theme in our opinion and is a beneficiary of the rekindled interest in the fixed line business. We keep our BUY call on TM based on higher FV of RM5.90 (previously RM5.70) following the 2-4% upgrade to our FY12/13 forecasts. We maintain our NEUTRAL call on Maxis based on FV of RM5.50. 

CENSOF (FV RM0.570  – BUY) Corporate News Flash: Nets  Contracts  Worth RM33.5m

LPI (FV RM15.40 – BUY) 1QFY12 Results Review: a Slow Start

UEMLAND (FV RM3.17– TRADING BUY) Corporate News Flash: Buying Back Land

Market Review
Correction sets in. The FBM KLCI gave up 7.59 pts to 1591.28 at the close, taking the cue from the sell-down across the regional bourses on weak jobs data out of the US. Today’s headlines include the government mulling raising the minimum floor prices of houses foreigners are allowed to buy to RM1m from RM500,000 to stem the rise in property prices, LPI’s 1QFY12 net profit falling 18% y-o-y on higher claims incurred and lower investment income and UEM Land to acquire 49.9 hectares of freehold land in Johor Bahru.   Overnight,  US investors reacted negatively, albeit late  due to the long weekend, to the weaker non-farm payrolls data by selling down and taking profit on their investments, pulling down the Dow to below the 13,000 level. We expect sentiment on the local bourse to remain relatively muted with further downside pressure.


MEDIA HIGHLIGHTS
US stocks decline as employment report misses estimates US stocks fell, dragging the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lower following its worst week of 2012, after employers added fewer jobs than forecast in March. The S&P 500 slumped 1.1% to 1,382.20 after losing 0.7% last week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 130.55pts, or 1%, to 12,929.59. Equity markets were shut for Good Friday on 6 April, when the employment report was released. Equities slumped last week after the Federal Reserve signaled it will refrain from further monetary stimulus and concern about Europe intensified. The US Labor Department said 6 April that employers added 120,000 jobs, the fewest in five months and less than the median economist forecast of 205,000 in a Bloomberg survey. (Bloomberg)

RM1m floor price?
The Government is considering raising the  minimum floor prices of houses foreigners are allowed to buy to RM1m from the current RM500,000 in an effort to control the rise in property prices, sources said. They said such a decision was “in the pipeline” and the implementation would be made by the economic planning unit (EPU) under the Prime Minister's Department currently headed by Minister Tan Sri Nor Mohamed Yakcop. Another source said the revised guidelines would also consider a slightly lower base price threshold of RM800,000 for residential properties in selected economic corridors such as Johor's Iskandar Malaysia to ensure the development and success of these corridor hotspots. (StarBiz)

Century Software secures RM33m contracts
Century Software Holdings secured two contracts valued at RM33.5m from the Pertubuhan Keselamatan Sosial for the social security information management systems. It said on Monday the first contract was for the social security information management system valued at RM24.5m while second contract was for the Perkeso social security information management system valued at RM9.0m. "The scope of work for the projects are to design, develop, supply, deliver, install, integrate, testing, deployment, commissioning, training and to maintain the Perkeso social security information management systems," it said. (StarBiz) Please see accompanying report

UEM Land unit to buy Johor land for RM93m
UEM Land Holding's wholly-owned subsidiary Nusajaya Premier SB (NPSB) has proposed to acquire 49.5ha of freehold land in Johor Bahru from Tanjung Bidara Ventures SB for RM93.2m cash. "The land is adjacent to Kota Iskandar and the company's existing prime development in Nusajaya, Puteri Harbour," UEM Land said. It said the proposed acquisition would allow the group to realize its original development vision for Puteri Harbour, where high density urban waterfront precincts at heart of public and private marinas are balanced with landed and high-rise residential precincts on both sides. (Malaysian Reserve) Please see accompanying report

I&P eyes repeat of RM1.4bn revenue
I&P Group SB, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Permodalan Nasional Bhd (PNB), aims  to repeat the RM1.4bn revenue it chalked up last year, despite the more challenging time this year. Its managing director Datuk Jamaludin Osman said properties with gross development value of about RM3bn were expected to be put into the market this year. I&P has successfully developed several major and well-known projects, such as Bukit Damansara, Bandar Kinrara, Alam Damai,Alam Impian, Alam Sari, Temasya-Glenmarie, Bandar Baru Seri Petaling, Taman Pelangi and Taman Perling. It is learnt that the group has  3,622ha of land in the Klang Valley and Johor Baru, with 1,195ha still undeveloped. (BT)

SILK bags RM10.8m contract
SILK Holdings' subsidiary Jasa Merin (M) SB has clinched a contract extension worth RM10.8m from Petrofac Ltd. The contract, which commenced in July 2009, had a primary period of two years with the extension options of 1+1+1 year, is to be given the second extension from 23 July 2012 to 22 July 2013. The contract extension is expected to contribute positively to SILK's earnings and assets for the financial year ending 31 July 2012 and 31 July 2013, the company said in a filing to Bursa Malaysia yesterday. (Financial Daily)

Dijaya gets 8% yield boost from new assets
Dijaya Corp is poised to get an income boost after an amalgamation exercise where its major shareholder Tan Sri Danny Tan would inject assets with long-term lease arrangements and rental yield of at least 8% yearly. Dijaya said in a statement yesterday, as part of the deal, Tan has irrevocably agreed and covenanted with Dijaya, via a letter of undertaking, to procure the relevant parties to be identified, on or before the completion of the proposed acquisitions, to enter into the long-term lease. Dijaya last month proposed an amalgamation exercise whereTan will inject 73 of his privately held assets worth RM1.1bn into Dijaya, making it one of the largest property firms in the country by market capitalization. (Financial Daily)

Syed Zainal resigns from Proton
Proton Holdings managing director Datuk Seri Syed Zainal Abidin Syed Mohamed Tahir has resigned, raising concerns over the future of the national car maker which was recently being taken over by conglomerate DRBHicom. His departure, which could presage resignations from other senior management staff in coming weeks, is due to differences with the new owners over Proton's future direction, close associates of the Proton chief and industry executives said.  (Financial Daily)

Guan Chong seeks secondary listing on Main Board of SGX
Guan Chong, one of the largest cocoa processors in the region, is seeking a secondary listing on the Main Board of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Ltd (SGX). In a statement yesterday, its managing director/ chief executive officer Brandon Tay Hoe Lian said the dual listing is to facilitate the company's access to the capital market of Singapore, giving the group the flexibility to tap into additional sources of equity funding for its expansion. (Malaysian Reserve)

ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
Japan:  Current account moving to surplus adds support for Yen
Japan swung to a current-account surplus in February after a record deficit in January, lending support to a currency that officials have sought to weaken to aid exporters and economic growth. The excess in the widest measure of trade was JPY1.18trn (USD14.5bn) the Ministry of Finance said in Tokyo yesterday. The median estimate of 25 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a surplus of JPY1.12trn. The yen is rebounding even after interventions by the finance ministry and monetary easing by the Bank of Japan helped to bring the currency down from October’s post World War II high against the dollar.. (Bloomberg)

Russia: Holds interest rates as inflation pressures increase
Russia’s central bank refrained from cutting interest rates for a fourth month after signaling that “medium-term” inflation risks are increasing. Bank Rossii left the refinancing rate at 8%, as predicted by 21 of 22 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The overnight auction-based repurchase rate was kept at 5.25% and the overnight deposit rate will remain at 4%. The world’s largest energy exporter is keeping borrowing costs unchanged even after the inflation rate fell to the lowest in two decades. Current market interest rates are “acceptable for the coming months,” Bank Rossii said. China may ease policy to boost faltering growth and Brazil has cut its benchmark rate five times since August. (Bloomberg)

China: Cautious on easing after inflation pickup
China’s inflation accelerated more than forecast in March on a pickup in food prices, signaling that policy makers may exercise caution in adding stimulus to boost growth. Consumer prices rose 3.6% from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said yesterday. That was more than the median 3.4% estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 33 economists. Food-related costs gained 7.5%. Premier Wen Jiabao’s officials may need to remain alert to the risk of inflation bouncing back even after price increases  stayed below the government’s 4% target for a second month. China’s economy may have expanded last quarter at the slowest pace in almost three years, showing the limits of the nation’s contribution to global growth as US job growth weakens and concern mounts about Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis. (Bloomberg)

EU: ECB financing for Portuguese banks rose to record in March
The European Central Bank’s financing for Portuguese lenders rose to a record in March, the Bank of Portugal said. ECB financing climbed to EUR56.3bn (USD74bn) from EUR47.6bn in February, the Bank of Portugal said yesterday on its website. ECB financing previously peaked at EUR49.1bn in August 2010. In April last year, Portugal became the third euro-area country after Greece and Ireland to require aid and will receive EUR78bn under its agreement with the International Monetary Fund and the European Union. The aid plan earmarks EUR12bn for Portugal’s lenders, if needed. As part of the plan, those lenders were required to raise core Tier 1 capital ratios to 9% by the end of 2011 and 10% by the end of 2012. (Bloomberg)


ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
Japan:  Current account moving to surplus adds support for Yen
Japan swung to a current-account surplus in February after a record deficit in January, lending support to a currency that officials have sought to weaken to aid exporters and economic growth. The excess in the widest measure of trade was JPY1.18trn (USD14.5bn) the Ministry of Finance said in Tokyo yesterday. The median estimate of 25 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a surplus of JPY1.12trn. The yen is rebounding even after interventions by the finance ministry and monetary easing by the Bank of Japan helped to bring the currency down from October’s post World War II high against the dollar. (Bloomberg)

Russia: Holds interest rates as inflation pressures increase
Russia’s central bank refrained from cutting interest rates for a fourth month after signaling that “medium-term” inflation risks are increasing. Bank Rossii left the refinancing rate at 8%, as predicted by 21 of 22 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The overnight auction-based repurchase rate was kept at 5.25% and the overnight deposit rate will remain at 4%. The world’s largest energy exporter is keeping borrowing costs unchanged even after the inflation rate fell to the lowest in two decades. Current market interest rates are “acceptable for the coming months,” Bank Rossii said. China may ease policy to boost faltering growth and Brazil has cut its benchmark rate five times since August. (Bloomberg)

China: Cautious on easing after inflation pickup
China’s inflation accelerated more than forecast in March on a pickup in food prices, signaling that policy makers may exercise caution in adding stimulus to boost growth. Consumer prices rose 3.6% from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said yesterday. That was more than the median 3.4% estimate in a Bloomberg
News survey of 33 economists. Food-related costs gained 7.5%. Premier Wen Jiabao’s officials may need to remain alert to the risk of inflation bouncing back even after price increases  stayed below the government’s 4% target for a second month. China’s economy may have expanded last quarter at the slowest pace in almost three years, showing the limits of the nation’s contribution to global growth as US job growth weakens and concern mounts about Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis. (Bloomberg)

EU: ECB financing for Portuguese banks rose to record in March
The European Central Bank’s financing for Portuguese lenders rose to a record in March, the Bank of Portugal said. ECB financing climbed to EUR56.3bn (USD74bn) from EUR47.6bn in February, the Bank of Portugal said yesterday on its website. ECB financing previously peaked at EUR49.1bn in August 2010. In April last year, Portugal became the third euro-area country after Greece and Ireland to require aid and will receive EUR78bn under its agreement with the International Monetary Fund and the European Union. The aid plan earmarks EUR12bn for Portugal’s lenders, if needed. As part of the plan, those lenders were required to raise core Tier 1 capital ratios to 9% by the end of 2011 and 10% by the end of 2012. (Bloomberg)

Source: OSK188

No comments:

Post a Comment