Thursday, 31 May 2012

AMWAY (FV RM11.20 - BUY) 1QFY12 Results Review: A Decent Quarter


Amway’s  1QFY12 results were within consensus and our expectations. Revenue and net profit  inched up  3.8% and 6.4% respectively on aggressive sales and marketing efforts and lower overhead expenses. Gross margin, however, contracted as  costlier raw material arising from stronger USD against  MYR took bite. However,  the group’s EBIT and net margin improved due to lower operating expenses. A first interim single-tier dividend of 10 sen per share  has  been proposed. Maintain BUY with FV of RM11.20 based on the DDM approach.

In line.  Amway’s  1QFY12 results were in line with consensus and our estimates. Revenue and earnings  went up by 3.8% and 6.4% y-o-y to  RM179.3m and RM21.6m respectively. The group’s sales and marketing programmes to stimulate demand for its products contributed to the better topline growth, which in turn bumped up its earnings. Vis-a-vis 4QFY11, group sales and profit were lower by  -1.7 and  -13.3% due to higher promotion expenditure.

Lower operating expenses. Gross margin was 40bps lower at 31.9% vs 32.3% y-o-y as the  USD’s appreciation against the MYR  lifted raw material costs. We believe that gross margin is likely to be weaker in the future, judging from the recent strength in the USD. However, EBIT margin expanded to 16.2% from 15.9% y-o-y, mainly driven by lower overhead expenses (RM29.3m vs RM29.5m y-o-y).  Likewise, net margin was higher at 12% vs 11.7% y-o-y, while the effective tax rate remained at 25.9%.  A  first interim single-tier dividend of 10 sen per share was proposed for the  quarter, which is higher than the 9 sen per share declared last year.

Maintain BUY. We maintain our FY12 and FY13 earnings forecast given that the results were in line with our estimates.  Maintain BUY, with  our  FV unchanged at RM11.20, based on DDM methodology. The stock’s dividend yield remains at an attractive >6%.

Source: OSK

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