Monday, 24 September 2012

Property Sector - Max household salary for PR1MA raised to RM7,500/month OVERWEIGHT


- It was reported in the media over the weekend that the government has raised the maximum household salary requirement for the PR1MA housing  scheme to RM7,500/month from the previous RM6,000/month. Although pricing range was not mentioned it was highlighted the units will sold be at discounted prices through a transparent balloting method. 

- We understand types of units will depend on location with units will range from studio apartments to landed properties. There will also be moratorium of 10 years before house owners are allowed to sell their units.

- PR1MA’s first housing scheme would be launched in Seremban on Saturday where there will be mix of landed and high-rise properties. This is three-phase programme, with the first phase to comprise about 1,200 houses due in 2015. This would be PR1MA’s first project since the gazetting of the PR1MA Act in January. 

- While this will provide some boost for transaction volume we believe there will be little impact to property companies under our coverage as they don’t have exposures in RM200k-RM400k segment. However this could change if the government proposes in the Budget 2013 that the low cost housing requirement to be replaced with medium cost units to address the big mismatch of demand and supply in medium cost housing as  speculated by the market. 

- Given Budget 2013 is an ‘election budget’, we believe focus would very much centre around affordable housing with a more robust scheme is expected. We gather that PR1MA  & My First Home Scheme (MFHS) have not taken off in a desirable manner with reports of high rejection rates – quite a significant number of applicants were ineligible and only slightly over a third of the applicants were approved by financial institutions.

- Recall that My First Home Scheme (MFHS) and PR1MA were introduced last year to enable young working adults with salary RM3,000/month and RM6,000/month to obtain up to 100%-105% financing to buy their first homes costing up to RM220k/unit and RM400k/unit respectively, with a repayment period of up to 30 years. 

- We maintain our OVERWEIGHT stance on the property sector because current valuations are depressed property stocks are trading at deep discount of 40%-50% to NAVs, sales guidance are very much intact and we think there will be a return of pent-up demand in properties. We expect the market to re-rate established township players such as IJM Land (FV:RM3.80/share) and Mah Sing (FV: RM3.60/share) with  Bandar Rimbayu and Southville City as key developments to drive sales.

- Meanwhile we have HOLD recommendations on Sunway Bhd, Bandar Raya Developments and SP Setia.

Source: AmeSecurities

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