Thursday 29 November 2012

IJM Corporation - 1H13 results slightly below


Period      2Q13/1H13

Actual vs.  Expectations    The 1H13 results came in slightly lower than our expectations and the consensus. The 1H13 core net profit of RM222m accounted for 44% of ours and the consensus’ FY13 full year forecasts respectively. Its underperforming plantation division was the main drag to its earnings. 

Dividends  A 4 sen interim (single tier) dividend was declared.

Key Result Highlights     The 1H13 core net profit of RM222m increased by 18% on the back of a marginal increase in the revenue by 2%. The lower revenue growth was mainly due to the poor performance of its plantation division as the total FFB production fell by 25% coupled with a flat average CPO price (RM3,024 per MT). Its construction division pretax profit grew by 168% as its margin doubled from  3%  to  7%  and  the  revenue  increasing  by 25%. The positive construction division results were attributable to the satisfactory work-inprogress of its ongoing projects like PahangSelangor Water Transfer project and MRT.   

QoQ, the 2Q13 revenue and core net profit increased by 10% and 19% respectively. This was due  to  a  higher  FFB  volume  of  48%.  The construction net earnings came down marginally by 3% as the pre-tax profit dipped 1% lower.

YoY,  the  net  profit  soared  by  62%  as  the construction pre-tax profit increased by two-fold. This was due to the higher margin for its ongoing projects and the additional earnings or savings from the just-completed  projects. 

Outlook      The sentiment could turn weaker on IJM due to the election risk and the  delays in finalising its WCE concession. 

Change to Forecasts      We  have  lowered  our  FY13  estimate  by  9%  as we had toned down our plantations earnings forecasts. 

Rating     MAINTAIN MARKET PERFORM
We are maintaining our MARKET PERFORM rating due to the limited capital upside.

Valuation       We have lowered our TP from RM5.00 to RM4.72 based on a SOP valuation.

Risks    Delays in contract award for WCE and ETP based projects.   

Source: Kenanga

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