- We maintain BUY on Alam Maritim Resources (Alam), with an
unchanged fair value of RM1.10/share, pegged to an unchanged FY13F PE of 12x –
at a 30% discount to the oil & gas sector’s 16x.
- Alam secured two contracts worth RM25mil to undertake underwater
services from an unnamed local oil & gas company. These non-renewable
contracts, which cover up to 21 days and 150 days respectively, are the first underwater
jobs secured for the year.
- We are positive that Alam is securing contracts for this underwater
division which suffered an FY12 loss of RM8mil together with its offshore installation
& construction (OIC) division due to lack of contracts. Recall that the
underwater division is supported by diving teams operating sixremotely operated
vehicles and saturation diving systems.
- But this new contract does not change our FY13F-FY15F earnings
as we have already assumed contracts worth RM300mil-RM350mil for the OIC and
underwater division. We have assumed minimal contributions for FY13F but expect
a stronger EBIT of RM16mil-RM18mil in FY14FFY15F.
- Currently, the group’s main earnings stem from its
jointventures and associates which have newer built offshore support vessels
(OSV) and higher specifications. All the newly-built vessels under the
joint-ventures have been chartered out presently except for the group’s
whollyowned vessels, which are generally older and have a utilisation rate of
around 60%. But overall vessel utilisation is expected to rise due to the
recent charters secured since the beginning of the year.
- Additionally, third-party vessel charters are expected to offset
any possible losses from the group’s OIC divisions, for which management is
still hopeful of turning around from fresh projects this year, with the group
hoping to be a main contender for the upcoming Pan-Malaysian umbrella transport
& installation tender.
- We maintain our conviction that OSV charter rates have reached
an inflection point with an upward trend that is fast gaining traction. The
fresh Petronas Carigali charters secured earlier this year by Alam reveal that
charter rates have risen from US$1.75/bhp in 2012 to US$2.20/bhp currently.
- Besides improving AHTS rates, we note that work boat charter
rates have been rising at a faster pace based on Alam’s recent extension of two
work boat charters which indicated an increase of 16% YoY. Valuations are still
compelling at an FY13F PE of 9x – way below the oil & gas sector’s 17x.
Source: AmeSecurities
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