Thursday 14 March 2013

Power Root - Take profit for now…


INVESTMENT MERIT
- A handsome 68.8%-gain. Including a 3.0 sen interim dividend which went ex in last November, Power Root has delivered a handsome total return of 68.8% since our first recommendation on the 14 August 2012 (Trading Buy @ RM0.90). In fact, the share price has outperformed the benchmark FBMKLCI significantly as the latter had ended almost unchanged over the same period of time (1,646.32 to 1,646.22).

- Flashing back to our August 2012 report on Power Root, we believed that Power Root had gone past the years of an unsuccessful venture in Indonesia, and was on track to make a strong comeback in both topline growth and margin expansion. We liked the company for its (i) export growth prospects, (ii) expansion track into new markets, (iii) new product launches, which include the well received Ah Huat label; and (iv) high scalability of its business in view of the burgeoning demand in both the domestic and export markets.

- Strong growth potential. Within this 7-month timeframe, Power Root had twice beaten our earnings projections where the more recent quarterly results revealed that the Group registered a 116.7% YoY surge in its 9M13 net profit to RM25.4m, which is close to our previous FY13 full-year earnings projection of RM26.9m. Indeed, this was due to an increase in the local and export sales apart from the c.RM3.4m one-off gains on disposal of properties.

- Exports to drive growth. The management has thus far been able to deliver strong numbers, and we anticipate the Group’s export segment continue to spearhead revenue growth going forward. We expect the Group’s export segment revenue to double in FY13 to c.RM90m (from RM46.2m in FY12), followed by RM130m in FY14, underpinned by higher demand from the markets of Middle East and Africa. Meanwhile, the group also plans to set up a production facility in the UAE in late-FY14, which we believe would be further support growth in the the afore-mentioned regions.

- Take profit! Power Root’s share price is now trading at 12.3x PER, which valuation appears slightly stretched in our view. There is also an element of uncertainty ahead of the impending General Elections, and as such, we feel that it may be time to take some chips off the table at this level. That being said, we remain positive on Power Root’s longer-term prospects, and may revisit the stock should the share price retreat to a more reasonable level.

TECHNICALS
- Resistance: RM1.54 (R1), RM1.62 (R2)
- Support: RM1.30 (S1), RM1.16 (S2)
- Comments: The share price looks slightly strained, while RSI has also dipped downwards from overbought levels. It is likely that we would see a small degree of profit taking in the short term.

BUSINESS OVERVIEW
- Power Root develops, manufacture and distribute various beverage products such as coffee, tea and herbal energy drinks fortified with two main rainforest herbs i.e. “Tongkat Ali” and “Kacip Fatimah”.

- Coffee, Energy drinks, Chocolate and Tea account for 77%, 12%, 5% and 5% of its total sales respectively (9MFY13) under the brand names of Ali Café, Per’l Café, Oligo Café, Power Root, Per’l Ali Tea and the Ah Huat White Coffee.

BUSINESS SEGMENT AND MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
- Through its subsidiaries, Power Root has successfully penetrated into 35 countries from the initial two (Brunei and UAE) in 2006 as it forges ahead in replicating its success experienced in Malaysia.

- The revenue contribution from overseas markets have grown to 32% of its total revenue, with new markets being developed such as Philippines, Algeria, Maldives, Somalia and Australia in 9MFY13. Plans are also underway to expand into Singapore and Hong Kong.

- Its top export destinations are the Middle East and Africa, which account for 87% of its total exports by revenue.

Source: Kenanga

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