Tenaga: The absence of Petornas from a high level meetings to discuss a
proposed stabilization fund seems to suggest that the establishment of a
mechanism to compensate Tenaga for purchasing gas at market rates is not likely
to be put in place soon. And without the stabilization fund, industry observers
point out that it would delay the import of LNG that is needed to make up for
the shortfall in local supply.
According to
Petronas, it was not invited to a meeting held by the EC on Sept 24, 2012.
The capital
provision with respect to the stabilization fund is the issue of paramount
importance. The government is looking at different form of funding and not
looking at Petronas. The delays in the subsidy rationalization scheme that the
government has wanted to implement. A key objective of the reform is reduce the
subsidy on gas supplied by Petronas to TNB. A critical step in implementing the
measure is to allow TNB to pass on the increased cost of generating electricity
to consumers which is a political issue.
The objective
of the rm5 billion stabilization fund is to compensate TNB for the additional
cost incurred to buy gas at the international price to generate electricity.
There is a gap of at least 50% between the subsidized gas price and the
international market price.
However in
March 2012 Petronas is committed to supply only 950 mmscfd of gas to the power
generation industry. This 950 mmscfd is infact 42% short of the 1350 mmscfd
that the independent producers and TNB collectively need.
In 2011,
both the government and Petronas compensated TNB rm2 billion cash for the sharp
jump in fuel costs as a result of the severe gas shortage, mainly because the
electricity group was not able to pass the additional cost to consumers through
a tariff hike.
To cope with
the growing demand for LNG, Petronas has built a regasification plant at cost
of rm3 billion. The facility which has been completed, was initially poised to
start operations in Aug 2012. It has now (Oct 2012) been delay to Nov 2012 due to
delay in the decision on the pricing mechanism for imported gas.
The
objective of the regasification terminal is to import LNG at market price for
those wanting more gas. The import of LNG will enable Petronas to build up a
buffer to meet demand in case of a disruption of supply from the local fields.
But the
pricing of the LNG could depend on whether TNB gets compensated through the
stabilization fund, since power producers are the biggest gas consumers. TNB
will be one of the bigger customers of Petronas’ LNG plant. But it will not buy
gas at market price if it cannot pass on the cost to consumers.
AS long as
the stabilization fund issue is not resolved, there is little incentive for
Petronas to start operations of the regasification terminal. If Petronas would
be required to inject capital into the stabilization fundm which indirectly
would mean subsidizing the gas burned by TNB, Petronas might as well continue
with the current arrangement of providing subsidized gas.
Linear: It is on the verge of being delisted as Bursa Malaysiahas rejected its
regularization plan. Linear will be delisted from Bursa on Nov 7, 2012 unless
an appeal against the rejection and delisting is submitted to the authorities
by Nov 3, 2012.
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