Thursday 16 August 2012

Media Chinese Int’l - Asset spin-off and a separate listing


Media Chinese International (“MEDIAC”) has proposed to spin off a 25% equity stake in its travel and travel-related business and is seeking for a separate listing for the business on  GEM (“Growth Enterprise Market”) in Hong Kong.  The proposed spin-off is expected to generate some exceptional gains, which  we believe could be used by the company to further reward shareholders in the future while the quantum is uncertain at this juncture. Management is targeting to complete the whole exercise by the end of CY12. The proposed partial asset disposal will have a minimal financial impact to the group due mainly to the division’s slim margin and profit. We reiterate our OUTPERFORM rating on MEDIAC with an unchanged target price of RM1.80.  

Proposes to spin off 25% equity interest in the travel and travel- related business with a separate listing on GEM in Hong Kong. The details in respect of the proposed spin-off, including the size, structure of the share offering, etc. has yet to be finalised. Nevertheless, management expects the proposed spin-off to be completed by the end of CY12. 

Key rationale for the proposal.  MEDIAC believes the proposed spin-off and separate listing will be beneficial for the group by 1) unlocking the value of its investments in the travel group; 2) to gain recognition and corporate stature and 3) enhance its corporate governance, operational and financial transparency.   

Conditions of the proposed spin-off.  The proposed spin-off is conditional upon approvals being obtained from the  following i.e. 1) the HKEx for the proposed spin-off; 2) shareholders' approval and 3) any other relevant authorities/parties if required. 

Information on Charming Holiday and Delta Group. MEDIAC’s travel division, via Charming Holidays and Delta Group, provides tour packages and ticketing services in HK and North America. Apart from popular longhaul trips, Charming also offers a broad range of services, including study tours and business group tours. The division’s turnover recorded USD70.3m (+8% YoY) (or accounted for 14.9% of the group’s total turnover of USD472.2m) in FY12, mainly driven by robust demand  for its long-haul tours. Its net profit surged by 30% YoY to USD2.0m as a result of adopting a more stringent cost structure. The division’s net profit margin also managed to improve to 2.9% as compared to 2.4% a year ago. 

FY13-FY15 earnings forecasts remain largely unchanged. Post-asset disposal, we are maintained our MEDIAC’s FY13 net profit forecast at RM193m but have lowered our FY14 and FY15 forecast earnings by -1.0% and -1.4% to RM194m and RM180m respectively due mainly to its slimmer net margin.   

Our target price remained unchanged at RM1.80 based on an unchanged targeted FY13 PER of 15.7x (+2SD). The group’s strong total FY13 dividend per share of 46.1 sen, which translate into a 30% dividend yield, could provide a strong shelter from any uncertainties. Downside risks in the stock are 1) any unfavourable operational environments and adex outlook and 2) an unexpected  lower dividend payout ratio.   

Source: Kenanga

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