Thursday 16 August 2012

Multi-Purpose Holdings - Demerger value set, rerating on the cards


The share price of MPHB has risen 6% in the past three days and a re-rating is on the cards as it has ironed out the details of its demerger exercise yesterday. The SPV, MPHB Capital is paying RM905.4m to MPHB (and assuming RM77.6m debts as well) for the non-gaming assets, except for the stockbroking business, at net assets value. Post de-merger, shareholders of MPHB will be offered a 1-for-2 Offer for Sale of all the SPV shares and a c.RM0.48/share capital repayment. In all, the enterprise value of MPHB will not change before and after the exercise. However, we expect a re-rating on MPHB valuation as the holding company discount applies to its RNAV will be removed as it becomes a pure NFO play. As such, we are upgrading our TP of MPHB to RM4.31/share from RM3.88/share after removing the 10% holding company discount to its RNAV. OUTPERFORM maintained. 

Details of demerger exercise set. Yesterday, Multi-Purpose Holdings Bhd (MPHB) announced the details of 1) the proposed demerge exercise; 2) proposed capital repayment; and 3) the listing of its non-gaming assets. Under the proposals, a SPV, namely MPHB Capital Bhd (SPV) has been set up to acquire MPHB’s non-gaming assets except the stockbroking entity for a total consideration of RM905.4m with RM77.6m debts. The whole exercise is expected to be completed in 1H13.

Non-gaming assets valued at RM905m.  The consideration of RM905.4m, which is based on net assets value, will be satisfied by 1) RM190.4m cash; and, 2) the issue of 715m new SPV shares at RM1.00 a piece. The non-gaming assets include 1) financial services, such as insurance; 2) hotels and 3) property assets. This de-merger exercise does not involve the stockbroking business as its divestment will go through a MBO (management buy out), is expected to be completed by this year-end.

Offer for Sale and capital repayment.  After the demerger exercise, MPHB will change its name to include the world “Magnum” to better reflect its core business. Post demerger, MPHB will undertake a renounceable 1-for-2 Offer for Sale of all its 715m SPV shares to its shareholders at RM1.00 a piece and seek a listing of the SPV on Bursa Malaysia. The proposed Offer for Sale is expected to result in a one-off pro-forma loss on disposal of RM250.4m to MPHB. Upon completion of the Offer for Sale, MPHB will then carry out a capital repayment exercise of all the net proceeds under the Offer for Sale. The capital repayment is estimated at RM0.48/share. 

Win-win for shareholders.  Although the price tag of RM905.4m for the non-gaming assets is lower than our estimated value of RM1.24b (with stockbroking business: RM1.44b), we remain  positive  on  the  deal  as  the shareholders will enjoy potential upside  to the assets’ fair value, especially the property assets, as they are offered based on book value. As such, on a net basis, shareholder’s wealth would  remain the same in theory as the combined value of MPHB and the SPV should be the same as its predemerger value. Nonetheless, the potential re-rating on MPHB as a pure gaming stock could be value-accretive to the shareholder.

TP upgraded to RM4.31/share.  As  it  will  become  a  pure  gaming  stock, we  have  decided  to  remove  the  10%  holdings company discount tag to MPHB’s RNAV. Thus, we are upgrading our price target on MPHB to RM4.31/RNAV share from RM3.88/share previously. Post demerger, a NFOonly MPHB would be valued at RM3.39/share with a potential rise to as high as RM4.52/share should MPHB get to have a lower Beta as Berjaya Sports Toto  Bhd  (UP;  TP:RM3.88)  when  it  turns  to  be  a  yield  stock.  MPHB  remains as our TOP PICK in the gaming space.    

Source: Kenanga

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