Monday, 7 January 2013

MAHB (FV RM8.00 – BUY) Corporate News Flash: Defers KLIA2 Opening Date


THE BUZZ 
Malaysia Airports announced that it has decided to defer the opening of KLIA2 to 28 June 2013  from  the  originally  targeted  1  May  2013  on  the  advice  of  Prime  Minister  Datuk  Seri Najib  Razak.  This  is  to  ensure  that  any  teething  problems  that  may  arise  are  resolved before the new airport’s opening, although it is still on track to take off as planned. 

OUR TAKE 
Within  our  assumptions.  While  we  had  earlier  expected  works  on  KLIA2  to  be  on schedule  for  the  new  airport  to  commence  operation  by  May  this  year,  we  had  also assumed  a  buffer period before KLIA2’s contribution  effectively  flows  in  by  2H2013.  We are positive on this announcement as delaying its opening will ensure that the new airport begins operation without any glitches. 
 
KLIA2  to  earn  more  revenue  as  LCCT  capacity  under  strain.  With  KLIA2  only commencing  operations  on  28  June,  this  would  mean  that  MAHB  may  be  earning  higher aeronautical  revenue  from  the  low  cost  carriers  operating  at  KLIA  given  the  limited  slots currently  available  at  the  existing  LCCT.  Lion  Air,  which  is  expected  to  commence operation in March, is likely to kick off from KLIA in the meantime.

Maintain  BUY.  Our  DCF-derived  FV  is  RM8.00,  assuming  WACC  of  9.1%. We  maintain our BUY call on MAHB as the airport operator continues to be buoyed by resilient demand for air travel as well as its cash generating business. Meanwhile, any pullback in its share price  in  response  to  the  delay  in  KLIA2’s  commencement  date  should  open  up opportunities  for  investors  to  accumulate  this  under-appreciated  stock.  Compared  with Airports  of  Thailand  (BUY,  FV  THB104),  MAHB  is  trading  at  a  20%-30%  discount  to  its FY13 and FY14 PEs.


Source: OSK

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