Wednesday, 2 January 2013

GTRONIC (FV RM1.91 – BUY) Stock Idea: Buoyed by Smartphone, Tablet Boom


To steer away from the technology industry’s strong headwinds, Globetronics has opted to ride on the fast-growing smartphone and tablet wave.  The company’s  fundamentals  are  underpinned  by  its:  (i)  prudent  management throughout  the  industry’s up-  and  down-cycles,  (ii) strong  balance  sheet,  (iii)  consistently  high  dividend  payout, and  (iv)  ability  to  capitalise  on  the  smartphone  and  tablet  boom.  We  are recommending a BUY on Globetronics, with RM1.91 FV, pegged to a 5-year average PE of 11.6x on its projected FY13 earnings.

Semiconductor  &  electronic  components  provider.  Globetronics  Technology  Bhd  (Globetronics)  is  principally  involved  in  the  assembly, packaging, and testing of semiconductor or electronic products. The Penang-based company owns four plants in Penang and the Klang Valley. Prior  to  2004,  it  focused  on  providing  integrated  circuits  (IC)  burn-in  services,  which  accounted  for  over  90%  of  its  sales.  However,  the company  has  diversified  into  three  segments,  namely:  (i)  the  assembly  and  manufacturing  of  IC  and  small outline  components,  (ii)  the assembly and testing of timing and quartz crystal devices, and  (iii) wafer processing, separation, die sorting services and  the manufacture of solid-state  lighting  (SSL)/light-emitting  diodes  (LED)  components.  Globetronics’s  products  can  be  mainly  found  in  computers,  notebooks, printers,  household/consumer  applications  (rice  cookers,  fridges,  microwave),  automotive  applications  and  general  lighting,  as  well  as electronic gadgets such as smartphones and tablets.

Dabbing  in  sensor  manufacturing.  In  July  2012,  the  company  started  the  assembly,  manufacturing  and  testing  of  sensors,  specifically  a  new generation of sensors and optical lenses. This new generation of sensors comprises power management devices  that ensure power saving in smartphones and tablets and therefore, maximise the battery life of those products. Optical lenses are flashes for camera lenses. We are fairly optimistic on the company’s move into sensor manufacturing, especially after it became a full turnkey contractor in November 2012. Thus, we should see a positive full-year impact on its top- and bottom-lines starting from 2013. Moreover, Globetronics was recently granted a 10-year pioneer status, from which it enjoys full tax exemption.

Strong  fundamentals.  Globetronics,  which  has  been  seeing  a  steady  improvement  in  net  margins,  has  been  profitable  for  the  past  10  years. This is attributed to its strategy of making the transition from being a pure IC manufacturer to a diversified producer of LEDs, quartz crystal and timing  devices,  as  well  as  sensor  products  widely  used  in  the  fast-growing  smartphone  and  tablet  sector.  Going  forward,  we  expect  the company’s margins to continue to grow on the back of its high-margin sensor products. As of end-September 2012, the group had RM105.7m (39.2 sen per share) cash in hand and no borrowings.

Consistently  high  dividend  payout.  Globetronics,  which  has  a  policy  of  distributing  50%  of  its  net  earnings  as  dividend,  has  been  paying dividends  since  1998.  In  FY11,  it  paid  out  a  total  dividend  of  8.5  sen  per  share,  representing  a  high  payout  ratio  of  85.1%.  This  year,  we  are looking at total dividends of 11 sen and 14 sen for FY12 and FY13, which translate into attractive dividend yields of 7.7% and 9.8% respectively.
 RM1.91  FV.  We  like  Globetronics  for  its:  (i)  prudent  management,  which  guided  it  through  the  industry’s up-  and  down-cycles,  (ii)  strong balance sheet, (iii) consistently high dividend payout, and (iv) ability to capitalise on the smartphone and tablet boom. We are recommending a BUY, with a FV of RM1.91, pegged to a 5-year average PE of 11.6x on its projected FY13 earnings.
Semiconductor  &  electronic  components  provider.  Globetronics  Technology  Bhd  (Globetronics)  is  principally  involved  in  the  assembly, packaging,  and  testing  of  semiconductor  or  electronic  products.  The  Penang-based  company  owns  four  plants  -  in  Penang  and  Klang  Valley. Founded by Mr Ng Kweng Chong in 1991, Globetronics started off focusing on the provision of integrated circuits (IC) burn-in services, which accounted for over 90% of sales prior to 2004. However, the company has diversified into: (i) the assembly and manufacturing of IC and small outline  components,  (ii)  the  assembly  and  testing  of  timing  and  quartz  crystal  devices,  and  (iii)  wafer  processing,  separation,  die  sorting services and the manufacturing of solid-state lighting (SSL)/light-emitting diodes (LED) components.

Its semiconductor and electronic components can be found in personal computers, notebooks, laser jet/ ink jet printers, household electronic products such as rice cookers, fridges, microwave ovens, as well as electronic gadgets such as smartphones and tablets. Its LED business’s end-applications are mostly in automotive and general lighting, including display, neon/stage lighting and conventional lighting. Besides supplying to  the  domestic  market,  the  company  also  ships  its  components  to  the  US  and  Singapore,  with  Avago,  Cree,  Epson, Osram  and  ST Microlectronics among its major customers.
Dabbing  in  sensor  manufacturing.  Globetronics  is  constantly  looking  for  new  opportunities  beyond  its  core  business  of  IC, timing  &  quartz crystal devices, and LED components. In July 2012, the company started the assembly, manufacturing and testing of sensors, specifically new generation  of  sensors  and  optical  lenses.  The  new  generation  sensors  are  power  management  devices that ensure  power  saving  in smartphones  and  tablets  and  therefore,  maximising  the  battery  life  of  those  products.  Optical  lenses  are flashes  for  camera  lenses.  We  are fairly  optimistic  about  the company’s venture  into  sensor  manufacturing,  especially  after  it became  a  full  turnkey  contractor  in  November 2012,  which  should  make  a  positive  full-year  impact  on  its  top-  and  bottom-line  starting  from  2013.  Moreover,  the  company  was  recently granted a 10-year pioneer status, from which it will enjoy full tax exemption.

Existing,  new  customers  to  boost  sales.  Its  Penang  plants  are  mainly  focused  on  the  IC,  LED,  and  sensor  business. Globetronics’s  existing customers including Epson Toyocom and Osram – both with strong bases at  its Penang operation – have  been ramping  up orders  since May 2012. Besides, its sensors as well as timing and quartz crystal devices are attracting new customers from Switzerland and Japan. The expansion of its Sungai Way plant in FY11 focusing on crystal timing devices boosted its production capacity from 60m units per month to 120m - 130m units per month.

Collaboration  with  clients  to  build  new  products.  Globetronics  has  been  co-developing  with  its  clients  on  products  that  meet  their  mutual needs. Currently, the company is exploring a new generation of multi-port proximity sensors with its clients. Management has set aside about RM35m-RM40m as capital expenditure for FY13, which will be used to fund the production of proprietary optical lenses, multi-port proximity sensors, temperature-compensated frequency devices, as well as its existing LED business and for working capital purposes.
Industry Prospects 

Riding on fast-growing smartphone, tablet wave. The explosion of the information age has led to the proliferation of smartphones, which are becoming  increasingly  indispensable  in  business  and  daily  lives  across  the  world.  According  to  the  International Data Corporation’s (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, smartphone shipments are forecast to soar 45.1% y-o-y to 717.5m units in 2012, in contrast to an estimated  1.4%  growth  in  the  global  mobile  phone  market  this  year.  Over  the  longer  term,  IDC  foresees shipments  of  more  than  1.8bn smartphones by 2016.

According  to  the  International  Teleconmmunication  Union  (ITU),  the  mobile  phone  market  was  valued  at  USD6b  in  2011.  We  see  great potential  for  the  existing  mobile  phone  users  to  convert  to  smartphones.  As  illustrated  in  Figure  4,  an  average  85.7  people  owned  mobile phones for every 100 people surveyed worldwide in 2011. Out of the 100, only 15.7 were smartphones users. In other words, over 80% of the mobile phone users had not switched to smartphones. The statistics also show that smartphone penetration rates were comparatively higher in mature economies, and there lies vast potential in the Asia Pacific region.
Financials   

Better 9MFY12 results. Globetronics reported robust 3QFY12 results, with PBT surging 33% y-o-y to RM18.0m on the back of an 11% increase in revenue to RM78.3m. The better results included a disposal gain of RM4.6m from its Jitra plant. Stripping off this one-off gain, its PBT would have  risen  8%  q-o-q.  The company’s 3Q  earnings  improved  q-o-q,  mainly  due  to  a  pick-up  in  sales  ahead  of  the festive  seasons  in  4Q.  YTD, earnings have jumped 39% to RM30.1m in spite of flat revenue, while EBIT margin rose from 11.4% in 9MFY12 to 17.5% amid a better product mix.  Overall,  the  major  contributors  to  the  decent  3QFY12  results  were:  (i)  higher  volume  loading  from  its  customers,  (ii)  improved contributions from its Malaysia and Singapore markets, and (iii) a disposal gain from its Jitra plant.
Solid  fundamentals.  Despite  being  in  the  typically  cyclical  technology  industry,  Globetronics  has  been  profitable  over  the  past  10  years  (see Figure  6).  The company’s net margins have generally  improved  as  more  of  its  higher-value  products  are  generating  profit.  This  is  mainly attributed to its strategy to transform itself from a pure IC manufacturer to a diversified producer of LEDs, quartz crystal and timing devices, as well  as  sensor  products  widely  used  in  the  fast-growing  smartphone  and  tablet  sector.  Going  forward,  we  expect  the company’s  margins  to improve on the back of its high-margin sensor products. As of end-September 2012, it had RM105.7m (39.2 sen per share) cash in hand and no borrowings.

Consistently  high  dividend  payout.  Globetronics,  which  has  a  policy  of  distributing  50%  of  its  net  earnings  as  dividend,  has  been  paying dividends since 1998. In FY11, the company paid out total dividends of 8.5 sen per share, representing a high payout of 85.1%. This year, we expect total dividends of 11 sen and 14 sen for FY12 and FY13, which translate into attractive dividend yields of 7.7% and 9.8% respectively.
Valuation & Recommendation 

RM1.91 FV. With over 40% of its sales derived from the smartphones and tablet-related components, we see Globetronics as one of the best
proxies to the fast-growing smartphone and tablet market. We like the company’s: (i) prudent management, which has guided it through the industry’s volatility, (ii) strong balance sheet, (iii) consistently high dividend payouts, and (iv) ability to capitalise on the smartphone and tablet boom. We are recommending a BUY, with a FV of RM1.91, pegged to a 5-year average PE of 11.6x on its projected FY13 earnings.
Source: OSK

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