Tuesday 26 February 2013

Syarikat Takaful Malaysia - Breaching The RM100m Mark


Syarikat Takaful Malaysia (STMB)’s FY12  core  net  profit  of  RM96.5m  accounted  for 102.8%  of  our  estimates.  Its  net  profit,  which  broke  the  RM100m  mark,  was supported by a superior contributions growth of 31.8%. Other profit drivers were: i) a remarkable 94% y-o-y growth in wakalah income, ii) higher transfer of surplus from the  family  takaful  fund,  iii)  low  claims  for  both  family  and  general  takaful,  and  iv) better investment income. We make no changes to our forecast. STMB remains our top pick for the sector. Maintain BUY, with RM8.00 FV pegged to 12x FY13 EPS.

Higher  wakalah  income.  STMB's  full-year  results  were  significantly  boosted  by  higher wakalah fees from both core operating segments (+94.1% y-o-y), which are recognized as income  at  the  operator/  shareholder's  level.  The  transfer  of  surplus  from  its  family  takaful fund  to the  shareholder's level  also  rose 32.7%  y-o-y  despite  the  lowered  surplus  transfer for its general takaful fund (-22.2% y-o-y), due to the shift to the Wakalah Model. That said, the  average  wakalah  income  per  quarter  from  the  family  takaful  fund  amounted  to RM46.5m while the corresponding income from general takaful fund was about RM23.6m.

To gain market share. STMB will continue to grow its market share in the takaful industry. The popular 'We Should Talk' campaigns are expected to feature more products, and rolled out under joint cooperation with its preferred financial partners. The company is also in the midst  of  seeking  more  bancatakaful  partners.  STMB  is  also  penetrating  into  the conventional  industry  segment  and  continues  to  hire  key  management  personnel  with substantial contacts and expertise from that space, a move that will benefit its sales team and agency force.

Dividend  yield  of  4.6%.  YTD,  STMB  has  declared  and  paid  a  first  and  second  interim single-tier  DPS  of  15  sen  and  10  sen  respectively.  Based  on  its  latest  share  price,  this translates to a yield of 4.6% and a dividend payout of 40%.
Surpassing  the  RM100m  mark.  STMB's  core  FY12  net  profit  of  RM96.5m  was satisfactory, accounting for 102.8% of our core earnings forecast of RM93.8m. Including a one-off  release  of  unearned  contribution  reserves  amounting  to  RM4.8m,  its  net  profit would  exceed  RM100m,  representing  a  remarkable  31.8%  y-o-y  growth.  The  surge  in earnings was achieved on the back of strong gross contributions growth  of 31.8% y-o-y to RM1.4bn. The family takaful segment experienced a strong contributions’ growth of 44.5% y-o-y,  and  accounted  for  about  68.4%  of  total  gross  contributions.  General  takaful contributions, which accounted for the remainder 31.6%, rose by 13.8% y-o-y.
Low  claims  ratios.  We  note  that  at  51.5%,  its  FY12  claims  ratio  for  the  general  takaful fund was lower than those recorded in previous years – 70.0% in FY11 and 56% in FY10. This  was  mainly  attributed  to  the  abnormally  low  claims  ratios  in  the  two  final  quarters, which  saw  claims  ratios  of  only  44.4%  (3Q12)  and  36.4%  (4Q12).  For  the  family  takaful fund, the amount of net claims paid and changes in contract liabilities grew by only 7.8% y-o-y  (despite  growing  38%  q-o-q),  significantly  below  the  earned contributions  growth  of 42.2%.
 
Expenses remained high, but controlled. We highlighted previously that a large wakalah income  contribution  is  likely  to  translate  into  high  management  expenses.  Looking  at  the commission and  wakalah  ratio  trend,  the increased  wakalah  income due to  the change of adoption  from  the  Mudharabah  to  the  Wakalah  model  has  increased  the  commission/ wakalah  ratio  to  20%-30%  for  both  the  family  and  general  takaful  funds.  Consequently, management  expenses  for  the  group  level  surged  as  much  as  44%  y-o-y,  in  line  with contributions  growth,  while  on  a  q-o-q basis,  it grew  by  25.4%.  However,  its management expenses  ratio  remained  in  line  with  historical  levels,  at  19%-20%.  Note  that  our computation of management expenses ratio includes expense reserve (i.e. capitalization of unearned wakalah expenses).

Investment  income  improved.  The  family  takaful  fund's  pure  investment  income  surged by 18% y-o-y and 33% q-o-q and overshadowed the investment income performance of the general  takaful  fund,  which  declined  marginally  by  2%  y-o-y.  This  is  in  line  with  the expansion in the investment portfolio which grew about 18% y-o-y. We also note there is an increase in realized gains from investments by 24% y-o-y.  

YTD  DPS  of  25  sen.  YTD,  the  company  announced  and  paid  first  and  second  interim single-tier  DPS  of  15  sen  and  10  sen  respectively.  Based  on  its  latest  share  price,  this translates  to  a  4.6%  yield  and  40%  dividend  payout.  We  leave  our  dividend  forecasts unchanged for now.

To  gain  market  share.  STMB  aims  to  capture  a  bigger  slice  of  the  takaful  industry.  The popular 'We Should Talk' campaigns are expected to feature more products, and rolled out under  joint  cooperation  with  STMB's  preferred  bancatakaful  partners,  which  consists of several major financial institutions. STMB is also penetrating into the conventional industry segment  and  continues  to  hire  key  management  personnel  with  substantial  contacts  and expertise from that space, a move that will benefit its sales team and agency force.
Maintain  BUY. We reiterate our BUY call, with our FV retained at RM8.00, pegged to 12x FY13 EPS. The stock current trades at 8.0x and 7.2x forward earnings.
Source: OSK

No comments:

Post a Comment