News In an
announcement to Bursa Malaysia, Kossan Rubber Industries (Kossan) said it is
buying a piece of freehold industrial land measuring approximately 56 acres
located in Batang Berjuntai, Kuala Selangor for RM35.4m or RM14.50 per sq
feet.
The acquisition is
expected to be completed by 1QFY2014.
Comments This
acquisition makes sense to us and is in line with Kossan’s strategy to
replenish its land bank in order to build more gloves production lines, which
are presently running at full capacity.
We believe the land
acquisition price is fair after checking with several sources that the
industrial land prices in the vicinity of Batang Berjuntai are between RM13 to
RM16 per sq feet.
Amplifying the strong
demand for nitrile gloves, the land is highly likely to be used to house plants
for the production of nitrile gloves. Note that Kossan’s recent new nitrile
capacity of 1.3b pieces of gloves has been mostly taken up by confirmed
buyers.
For illustrative
purposes, the RM35.4m acquisition will not have a material impact on Kossan’s
net debt and net gearing of RM84m and 0.2x as at 30 Sept 2012.
We do not have
sufficient details and numbers to quantify future earnings enhancement to our
earnings forecasts at this juncture.
Outlook 4QFY12 results preview. Kossan’s commercial operation of its
nine-line production plant, which produces 1.3b nitrile gloves p.a. in total,
has hit maximum capacity in 4Q2012. Its production line to produce 0.6b pieces
of surgical gloves meanwhile is expected to be ready by end-Feb 2013. We expect
a 4QFY12 net profit of between RM29.0m and 31.0m, bringing the full-year FY12
profit to RM104.0mRM106.0m, underpinned by new capacity and lowerthan-expected
input latex prices.
Forecast No changes to our forecasts.
Rating Maintain OUTPERFORM
Valuation Kossan
is trading at 9.0x FY13 earnings compared to Topglove and Supermax, which are
at 15.0x their FY13 earnings. The valuation gap should narrow as (i) Kossan moves
up the value chain by offering higher margin surgical and clean room gloves and
(ii) the fact that Kossan’s product mix contains lesser natural rubber glove,
which is more sensitive to the movement in latex prices. Going by the recent
acquisition of both Adventa and Latexx Partner at PERs of between 13.0x and
16.0x, Kossan appears more attractive at its current valuations. This is
because Kossan has a bigger market capitalisation and earnings base compared
with both Adventa and Latexx Partner. Our TP is based on a PER of 10.0x,
representing a -0.5 standard deviation below its 6-year average, over our FY13
EPS forecast of 36.4 sen.
Risks Higher than expected input raw material cost
Lower than expected volume sales.
Source: Kenanga
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