- We maintain BUY on
Hock Seng Lee (HSL), with a sum-of-parts fair value of RM2.59/share (vs. RM2.76
previously), which includes a PE of 9x against its 3-year average forward
earnings for its construction division.
- HSL yesterday
announced the securing of a RM26mil contract with Sarawak’s Ministry of
Industrial Development for infrastructural works at the Demak Laut Industrial
Park in Kuching.
- The scope of works
includes earthworks, sand-filling, water reticulation, drainage, road and
associated jobs. It is slated to be
completed by January 2014. Earthworks involving land engineering form part of
HSL’s unique expertise that is in demand, given a large part of the state is
composed of swamps and marshland.
- This brings the
total amount of contracts announced year-to-date to RM181mil. For now, we
maintain our annual new order book assumption at RM600mil. We reiterate our
view that the contract flows would pick up pace in the second half of the
year.
- Following the
release of its 1QFY12 results earlier, we had already cut HSL’s turnover and
earnings projections, by about 16% each, to account for the delay in the awarding
of construction contracts in the state. This partly stems from the state administration’s
focus on preparations for the country’s impending general election.
- HSL currently has
an estimated RM1.7bil worth of jobs in hand, of which about RM1.0bil is still
outstanding – with plenty more projects within Sarawak’s SCORE up for grabs, particularly
in infrastructure and marine engineering works.
- Potential jobs in
the pipeline are:- 1) The remaining RM1.7bil packages of the Kuching central
sewerage system; 2) participation in the construction of powerrelated plants
and ancillary jobs; 3) the RM100mil Tanjung Manis deep seaport extension, and
4) various road, rural water supply, flood mitigation and other infrastructure
projects.
- As it stands, HSL
has been deeply involved in various projects in Sarawak’s economic growth
nodes, including Samalaju, Mukah and Tanjung Manis. The stock is currently
trading at an undemanding FY12F-FY14F PEs of 6x-9x.
Source: AmeSecurities
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