We see three key catalysts in MPHB at this juncture, which
is likely to rerate the stock further. First, the stock is cheap (unjustifiably
so). Secondly, it is transforming into a
clean-cut NFO play (which should lead to a higher valuation). And thirdly,
there could be a special dividend to reward investors. MPHB is now in the middle
of an asset rationalisation exercise to dispose off non-gaming assets. The
proceeds should be enough to raise its already attractive dividend payout as
well as a one-off special dividend payment of 56 sen. More importantly, with
the disposal, it will become a pure NFO play, which will force the market to
push its valuation probably up to par with current favourite BToto’s valuation
(23% discount right now). In addition, at its current price of RM2.88, one is
actually buying the stock for almost
free the worth of its non-gaming assets of RM1.77. Hence, the stock is clearly undervalued
at this stage. We are thus initiating coverage on MPHB with an OUTPERFORM
conviction and TP of RM3.72/share, a 10% discount to its RNAV.
A gaming-centric
conglomerate. Through its subsidiaries, Multi-Purpose Holdings Bhd (MPHB)
is involved in the Gaming, Stockbroking, Financial Services, Hospitality and
Property divisions. About 75% of MPHB’s earnings are derived from its NFO
business with the Insurance unit being the second largest earnings contributor
(c.12%). Its Hospitality and property
division contributes c.10% to the group with Stockbroking being the smallest
unit.
Undemanding
valuation. MPHB is trading at 11.2x
CY12 PER, a 23% discount to another listed NFO player, Berjaya Sports Toto Bhd (“BToto”, MP; TP:
RM4.52). This we believe has been mainly due to MPHB being an investment
company, which typically commands lower valuation compared to a single-purpose
business entity. Even so, at its current price of RM2.88, one is buying the
stock for almost free the worth of its non-gaming assets of RM1.77.
Asset rationalisation
exercise to unlock value. Since Dec 2011, MPHB has completed the disposals
of Menara MPHB and Flamingo Downtown in Pudu. Management has indicated its
intention to sell all its non-gaming assets to focus just on the NFO business.
This is part of the exercise to unlock the group’s value as the stock is always
trading at discount
to its peers. Hence, this
rationalisation exercise should help to re-rate the stock.
Special dividend on
the card? Apart from the rerating catalyst, MPHB is expected to raise funds
from the disposal exercise. We have estimated that its non-gaming assets are
worth c.RM1.44b, based on NBV. If MPHB were to use the proceeds to redeem all
its outstanding debts, the group will become a net cash company. With a net
cash of RM805m, MPHB would be able to distribute 56 sen as a special dividend
to reward shareholders, in addition to its already attractive regular gross
dividend yield of 6%-7%.
14% CAGR over
2011-2014. We expect core earnings to grow at 14% 3-year CAGR over the next
three years, mainly led by its NFO business under 100%-owned Magnum Corp Sdn
Bhd. Our earnings model still includes contributions from the non-gaming
businesses at this juncture, although as mentioned, their disposals are likely
to result in a better valuation for the stock.
OUTPERFORM with TP of
RM3.72/share. The asset
rationalisation exercise is the
key to unlocking
MPHB’s value. We
believe it is
a good time to buy MPHB now at its undemanding
valuation before it gets rerated by the after the completion of the
rationalisation exercise. We are hence initiating coverage on
MPHB with a
OUTPERFORM rating and
price target of RM3.72/share (being at a 10% holding
company discount to the RNAV).
Source: Kenanga
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