THE BUZZ
StarBiz reported that the buyout of KFC Holdings and QSR
Brands by a Johor Corp-led consortium is coming closer to fruition, with the
Johor Corp board now finalizing the sale and purchase agreement.
OUR TAKE
Taking longer than
expected. The sale of QSR by Kulim to its parent company, Johor Corp, was
to be completed in April and hence, it is taking longer than expected. However,
we remain confident that the transaction will be completed in due time.
Special dividend in
store? From our understanding, Kulim has not identified any asset to
acquire using the proceeds from the sale of QSR, which increases the likelihood
that Kulim will return the cash to shareholders in the form of a special
dividend, much like what it did with the
proceeds from sale of Natural Oleochemicals. To recap, Kulim stands to
receive RM1.1bn from sale of its QSR stake, which if fully paid out as
dividend, will result in a special dividend of 87 sen per share.
Acquisition of Johor
Corp’s estates. Of the two parcels of oil palm plantation assets amounting
to 13k ha in total which Kulim is acquiring from Johor Corp, one parcel was completed
at end-2011 with the second parcel of 7k ha still outstanding. The additional 6k
ha has helped boost Kulim’s 1Q production by 4.7% over last year.
New Britain Palm Oil
no longer a subsidiary. Kulim’s 50.7% stake in London Stock Exchange-listed
New Britain Palm Oil (NBPO) has been watered down to 49.5% following the issue
of 3.3m new NBPO shares for the acquisition of the remaining 20% stake in Kula
Palm Oil. With that, NBPO ceases to be a subsidiary of Kulim. We believe the
impact on Kulim’s bottom-line will be negligible, though revenue will fall
substantially as NBPO will now be equity-accounted only.
Maintain Buy on
Kulim. We continue to like Kulim, being the cheapest large-scale plantation
company in of Malaysia. Kulim is the 4th largest plantation company
by planted hectarage with 118.6k ha of oil palm planted area. However, unlike
the other big names, Kulim only trades at forward PERs of 10.0x and 8.9x based
on FY12 and FY13 earnings. Our FV remains at RM5.47, which still includes QSR’s
contribution, but could be adjusted downwards should there be a special
dividend after the completion of the QSR
sale.
Source: OSK188
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