Thursday, 20 September 2012

Macro Bits - 20 Sep 2012 - Malaysia | Asia | USA | Commodities Europe | Currencies |


Malaysia
 CPI Remained At 1.4% In August With Slight Increase In F&B Index. Inflation rate for August remained at 1.4% YoY, making it in line with market expectations and retaining its slowest pace seen since March of 2010. There were however slight increases in the food & beverages and the furnishings, household equipment & routine household maintenance indexes in light of the Eid season. This is better translated by the monthly changes, which increased by 0.2%. (Please refer to Economic Viewpoint for further comments)

 Zeti: Malaysia’s Financial System Can Absorb Volatilities. The recent US Federal Reserve's QE3 will not have much impact on Malaysia as the country's financial system is strong and capable of absorbing any financial volatilities arising from this move. “We have surges of inflows but also have reversals and previously would have been destabilised if it was more than 10 years ago. But in the current environment, we have advanced significantly to enable us to intermediate these volatile financial flows,” Bank Negara governor Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz said. (The Star)

Asia 
 Bank Of Japan Increases Asset Purchase Programme. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has extended its asset purchasing programme by 10 trillion yen ($126bn), following similar moves by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. The move, aimed at boosting the economy, increases the overall size of the stimulus programme to 80tn yen. Although the increase had been anticipated by some analysts, many were surprised by the size of it. Under the asset purchasing programme the central bank buys bonds in order to keep the long-term cost of borrowing down. The BoJ also left interest rates unchanged at between zero and 0.1%. (BBC)

 FDI Into China Declines Again In August. Foreign direct investment in China fell again in August, the government said yesterday, amid stubborn weakness in both the global and Chinese economies.  Investment from overseas declined by 1.4 per cent from a year earlier to US$8.3 billion last month, the Commerce Ministry said in a statement.  The August fall continued a downward trend that goes back to November, with the exception of May, when foreign direct investment eked out a marginal gain of 0.05%.  (AFP)

USA
 US Home Sales Rise To Two-Year High In August. Sales of previously owned US homes reached their highest level for more than two years in August, figures show. Prices for such homes also rose, according to figures from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The figures added to the picture of an improving US housing market, although the number of first-time buyers fell back from 34% to 31%. That is the biggest number since May 2010, when sales were boosted by a federal home-buying tax credit. However, the figure is still below the 5.5 million units a year level seen as consistent with a healthy housing market. (BBC)

 Housing Starts In U.S. Climbed 2.3% In August. New housing construction rose in August, boosted by the strongest pace of single-family home starts in more than two years that shows an improving U.S. real estate market. Beginning construction climbed 2.3 % to a 750,000 annual rate, less than forecast and restrained by a drop in the building of apartments, from a revised 733,000 annual pace in July, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median estimate of 85 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for 767,000.  (Bloomberg)

 US Mortgage Applications Fell Last Week. Applications for U.S. home mortgages dipped last week, though demand for refinancings rose as mortgage rates fell to a record low, an industry group said on Wednesday. The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, edged down 0.2 % in the week ended Sept 14. The seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications gained 0.8 %. (Reuters)

Europe
 France Moves To Pass EU Fiscal Pact. French President Francois Hollande's Socialist-led government on Wednesday kickstarts ratification of a European Union budget discipline pact it grudgingly accepts as the next step out of the euro debt crisis. Created in March by Hollande's predecessor Nicolas Sarkozy and 24 other EU leaders including Germany's Angela Merkel, the fiscal compact requires euro zone countries to slash their public deficits or face legal action and possibly  fines. Its entry into cabinet on Wednesday paves the way to likely approval by French parliament in coming weeks, despite noisy dissent within Hollande's leftleaning coalition and growing disenchantment with the European Union among a French public facing 13-year jobless highs and fearing worse to come. (Reuters)

Currencies
 Dollar Down Vs. Euro, Yen After Bank Of Japan Move. The dollar slipped against the euro and other major currencies on Wednesday after U.S. economic data boosted equities, while the Japanese yen ended a short-lived drop against several rivals after the Bank of Japan surprised markets by expanding its own asset-purchase program. The ICE  dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell  to 79.113 versus 79.226 late Tuesday in North America. The  euro turned up to $1.3051, from $1.3042 in North American trade late Tuesday. It’s up from just under $1.30 as the session’s lows. The dollar rose as high as ¥79.23 before retreating to ¥78.36, down from ¥78.89 late Tuesday. The euro erased an early rally to fall 0.5%, changing hands at ¥102.25, while the British pound dropped 0.8% to ¥126.96. Also Wednesday, the pound changed hands at $1.6218, down from $1.6245. The Australian dollar turned up to $1.0483, from $1.0444. (Market Watch) 

Commodities
 Oil Dives $4 As Supplies Rise, Saudi Talk Spooks Funds. Oil prices slumped $4 on Wednesday as Saudi efforts to tame prices and a massive rise inU.S. crude inventories after Storm Isaac fuelled a third day of heavy fund liquidation, one of the biggest sell-offs in more than a year. Brent November crude fell $3.84, or 3.4 %, to settle at $108.19 a barrel, having recovered from a session trough of $107.40, the lowest since August 3. Brent's three-day drop stood at more than 7 %, the biggest since a 7.73 % dive in early June. That, in turn, was the biggest three-day slide since August, 2011.  U.S. October crude, which expires on Thursday, fell $3.31, or 3.47%, to settle at $91.98 a barrel after dropping below the 50-day moving average of $93.08. U.S. November crude fell $3.32, to $92.30 a barrel. (Bloomberg)

 Gold Flat Near 6-1/2 Mos High, Outperforms Crude. Gold ended nearly flat on Wednesday, hovering near a 6-1/2 month high hit in early trade, buoyed by monetary stimulus from the world's major central banks despite pressure from another tumble in crude oil prices. Spot gold was down 0.1 % at $1,769.90 an ounce by 2:01 p.m. EDT (1801 GMT), after hitting a 6-1/2 month high of $1,779.10, around $10 below the 2012 high of $1,790.30 reached in late February. Among other precious metals,  silver was down 0.7 % at $34.52 an ounce, while platinum group metals rebounded from the previous session's sharp pullback. Spot platinum climbed 1.1 % to $1,635.74 an ounce, and palladium was up 1 % at $669.47 an ounce. (Reuters)  

Source: Kenanga

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