Wednesday, 19 September 2012

Kenanga- Macro Bits - Asia | USA | Europe | Currencies | Commodities - 19 Sep 2012


Asia 
 China Protests: Fears Rise Over Japan-China Trade Ties. There are fears over the economic impact of the dispute between China and Japan if the row over islands in the East China Sea is not resolved soon. Several major Japanese companies have suspended operations in China after attacks on shops and car dealerships. Shares in some of those firms fell in Tokyo on Tuesday. The Japanese government has asked Beijing to do more to protect Japanese businesses. Trade between China and Japan is worth about $345bn. (BBC) 

 China August Home Prices Rise On Month, Fall On Year. China's home prices rose 0.1 % in August from July, to show a modest increase for a second consecutive month and signal  a gentle recovery in the property market as the government seeks to spur economic growth. Real estate, which directly impacts around 40 other business sectors in China, is a key driver in the world's second largest economy, which is currently going through its worst slowdown in three years as growth in exports and factory output falls. August's 1.4 % year-on-year price fall was the sixth successive easing, according to Reuters calculations based on National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data released on Tuesday. (Reuters)

 Turkey Cuts Rates First Time In 7 Months As Economy Slows. Turkey’s central bank cut interest rates for the  first time in seven months in response to lower- than-forecast inflation and slowing economic growth. The bank in Ankara reduced its overnight lending rate, the top end of its interest-rate corridor, by 150 basis points to 10 %, according to its website. Six economists surveyed by Bloomberg had expected a 100 basis-point reduction. The bank held its benchmark one-week repo rate at 5.75 %, in line with forecasts. It’s the first change in the corridor since a cut of 100 basis points to the top rate in February. (Bloomberg)

USA
 Current-Account Gap In The U.S. Narrowed In Second Quarter. The current-account deficit in the U.S. narrowed more than forecast in the second quarter, helped by a pickup in exports and a bigger income surplus. The gap, the broadest measure of international trade because it includes income payments and government transfers, shrank 12 % to $117.4 billion from $133.6 billion in the prior quarter, a Commerce Department report showed today in Washington. The median forecast of economists in a Bloomberg survey called for a $125 billion deficit. (Bloomberg)

 International Demand For U.S. Assets Rises On Europe. International purchases of U.S. financial assets rose more than sevenfold in July as investors sought shelter from the debt crisis in Europe. Net buying of long-term equities, notes and bonds totaled $67 billion during the month, up from net purchases of $9.3 billion in June, the Treasury Department said today in Washington. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected net buying of $27.5 billion of long-term assets, according to the median estimate. (Bloomberg)

 Fedex Cuts Forecast As Economy Hurts Premium Shipping. FedEx Corp. dropped the most in three months after cutting its annual profit outlook because a weakening economy has prompted shippers in the U.S. and overseas to switch to cheaper delivery options. FedEx, an economic bellwether because it ships goods from financial documents to electronics, pared its forecast for 2012 U.S. expansion to 1.9 % from a June prediction of 2.4 %. Global growth will slow to 2.3 % this year and 2.7 % in 2013, FedEx said, pulling back on projections of 2.4 % and 3 %, respectively. (Bloomberg)

Europe
 Spain: Banks' Bad Debts At New Record. The value of bad debts held by Spain's banks in July rose to 169.3bn euros ($221bn), according to latest figures from the central bank. The Bank of Spain said 9.9% of banks' total loans were in arrears, up from 9.4% a month before. It was the highest bad loan ratio since the central bank began compiling the data in 1962. Spain is assessing the conditions of assistance from the European Central Bank, its deputy prime minister said. (BBC)

 German Investor Confidence Rises First Time Since April. German investor confidence rose for the first time in five months in September after the European Central Bank unveiled a plan to buy government bonds to stem the sovereign debt crisis. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict economic developments six months in advance, climbed to minus 18.2 from minus 25.5 in August. Economists forecast a gain to minus 20, according to the median of 41 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. (Bloomberg)

 UK Inflation Rate Eases In August, ONS Says. The pace of price rises slowed in August compared with the previous month, official figures have shown. The annual rate of inflation in the UK, as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), fell back to 2.5% in August from 2.6% in July, the Office of National Statistics said. The fall was partly due to smaller rises in furniture and gas prices. (BBC)

Currencies
 Dollar Up A Second Day After Big Drop. The dollar rose for a second session on Tuesday, as traders were unsure whether the “risk rally” in equities and commodities could continue in the face of unrest in China and Europe’s simmering banking problems. The ICE dollar index, which tracks the U.S. unit against six major currencies, rose to 79.226, from 79.045 in late trading on Monday. It lost
1.8% last week, its swiftest decline since October. The euro fell to $1.3042, from $1.3094 the previous session. The shared currency saw little lasting impact from a rise in the ZEW expectations index for German investors. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar traded at ¥78.89, up from ¥78.74. The  aussie fell to $1.0444, down from $1.0459 Monday. The  British pound traded at $1.6245, little changed from $1.6238 Monday. (Market Watch) 

Commodities
 Oil Down A Second Day On Economic Concerns, Saudi Pressure. Oil futures fell for a second straight session on Tuesday, pressured by concerns about sputtering global economic growth and by indications that OPEC's top producer Saudi Arabia is working to drive down prices.  Brent November crude fell $1.76 to settle at $112.03 a barrel. A combined 4.25 % loss to start this week was the biggest two-day %age drop since June 21, according to Reuters data. Brent fell as low as $111.61, below the 200-day moving average of $111.87, a technical level tracked by traders. U.S. October crude fell $1.33 to settle at $95.29 a barrel, below the 200-day moving average of $96.57. After reaching $97.23, the $95.11 low was hit in post-settlement trading. The October contract expires on Thursday. U.S. November crude fell $1.33 to settle at $95.62. (Reuters)

 Platinum Slides As Miners Accept Labor Deal, Gold Up. Platinum fell 2 % on Tuesday following news that striking platinum miners at South Africa's Lonmin mine accepted a pay offer that could have them returning to work on Thursday. Spot platinum dropped 2.2 % to $1,623.75 an ounce by 2:32 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, having lost nearly 4.5 % in the past two days. Palladium was down 1.7 % at $661.75 an ounce. Spot gold rose 0.3 % to $1,765.95 an ounce. Silver rose 1.1 % to $34.57 an ounce. (Reuters)

Source: Kenanga

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