INVESTMENT MERIT
- Under the limelight, but …
Executive Chairman of Bonia Corporation (“BONIA”), Chiang Sang Sem, and persons
acting in concert (“PACs”) recently made an unconditional mandatory take-over
offer (“MGO”) to acquire all the remaining 100.4m shares in BONIA (approximately
49.83% of share cap) for a cash offer price of RM2.04/share. However, the share
price retreated recently following the deemed unattractive takeover offer of
RM2.04 (only at 10x FY12a PER and 1.5x FY12a PBV) and the misconception over
its weaker 4QFY12 earnings.
- 4QFY12 results review. BONIA
reported a total revenue of RM579.8m in FY12, a 25.7% increase vs. the RM461.m
in FY11. The growth in revenue was mainly attributed to sales growth in both
its boutique and consignment sales outlets and the additional contribution of
revenue from Jeco (Pte) Ltd (Jeco) of RM70.2m, which made up 12.1% of the total
revenue. Recall that the group completed its acquisition of Jeco on 20 Dec
2010. As such, FY11 earnings only included the 2H11 profit contribution from
Jeco in contrast to a full-year contribution this year. However, BONIA
registered much slower growth rates in PBT and PATMI of 18.4% and 4.7%
respectively. The lower PBT and net margins of 11.5% and 7.1% (vs. 12.3% and
8.5% in FY11) were due mainly to a fair value adjustment of RM4.6m on a long term loan to an
associate as well as
allowance for impairment loss in associates amounting to RM4.3m in 4Q12.
Excluding these exceptional items, the
group would have recorded a PBT of RM77.0m, translating into a PATMI of
>RM50.0m or a growth of >27.7%
- MGO below market = less
upside potential? May be
not, in our view. BONIA could potentially see a strong jump in its PATMI to
RM57.7m in FY13 from RM41.0m in FY12, representing a growth rate of 33.4%, on
the back of a likely decent growth rate in the revenue of 13.2%. As such, BONIA
is merely trading at a FY13e PER of 9.0x compared to Padini Holdings’ current
FY13e PER of approximately 12.1x as per the consensus. Should we peg our
projected FY13 EPS of 27.1sen to the FY12 Historical PER of 10.7x, the stock
should be valued at RM2.90 on the back of 1.6% in dividend yield.
TECHNICALS
- Resistance: RM2.67 (R1),
RM2.77 (R2)
- Support: RM2.06 (S1), RM2.20
(S2)
- Views: S-T (Bullish), M-T
& L-T (Neutral-Bullish)
- Comments: Share price is
starting to form a bullish “Cupand-Handle” pattern, denoted by the short bout
of sideways trading towards end-August12. Should the price action manage to
break above the RM2.65/70 congestion zone, we would expect Bonia to resume its
long term uptrend.
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
- Through a network of over 883
sales outlets and 103 boutiques around the world, BONIA is involved in
manufacturing, marketing, retailing and distribution of high-fashion branded
leatherwear, men's apparel and accessories.
- Apart from its flagship label
of BONIA, the group also operates successful brands such as SEMBONIA and CARLO
RINO and holds licenses for
various international labels, distributorship and dealerships of leading brands
including SANTA BARBARA POLO, AUSTIN REED, VALENTINO RUDY and JEEP among others.
OPERATING SEGMENTS
- BONIA operates in three
segments - Retailing,
Manufacturing, and Investment & Property Development.
- BONIA's retailing segment is
engaged in designing, promoting
and marketing of fashionable apparels, footwear, accessories and leather goods.
The manufacturing segment involves manufacturing and marketing of fashionable
leather goods. The third segment, Investment and property development on the
other hand involves investment holding, rental and development of commercial
properties.
- Recently, BONIA, via its
Singapore subsidiary, was appointed as the master Franchisee for “Renoma Café
Gallery” from its Licensor, Renoma S.T.A.R for the territories of Malaysia,
Singapore and Indonesia. A first concept “Renoma Café Gallery” will be launched
by the end of 2012.
Source: Kenanga
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