Friday 6 April 2012

TNB (FV RM7.68 - BUY) Corporate News Flash: CFO Calls it a Day


THE BUZZ
In a Bursa announcement, Tenaga Nasional (TNB) announced that its Chief Financial Officer (CFO),  Mohamed Rafique Merican bin Mohd Wahiduddin Merican, 47, has resigned to pursue better opportunities and career advancement.

OUR TAKE
A surprise. This piece of news took us by surprise as we had not heard any rumours of En Rafique leaving. Meanwhile, a corporate day being organized by TNB for investors in May could be affected by this development. Appears to be an amicable parting of ways. As far as we understand, there are no negative developments surrounding En Rafique’s departure. We  also  understand that management has  already  begun the search for a replacement.  During  En Rafique’s tenure, TNB continued to pare down its debts despite facing numerous headwinds. At this juncture, we believe  that there will be minimal disruption to TNB’s activities given that  all  standard operating procedures should  be in place  at  this  long  established Government Linked Company (GLC).

Coal  tax conundrum. Sentiment  in the company  has been slightly  doused of late in view of recent rumours that Indonesia may be slapping a 25% export tax on coal, which stoked fears of a price hike in coal. While we do see some rationale for an export tax on mining ores, we see no justification for a coal export tax as there is limited capacity for local upgrading  of coal  or value adding in Indonesia prior to export. We believe  that various parties, including miners and importers, will lobby hard to have this tax reduced or postponed. For now, we maintain our coal cost assumption of USD110 per tonne for FY12 and FY13.

Maintain BUY. While some  parties  may choose to read more than is justified in the resignation of the CFO, particularly given the  upcoming departure of CEO Datuk Seri Che Khalib  - who has chosen not to renew his contract when it expires in June, we believe that  a leading GLC like TNB will keep its operations intact. As such, any short term share price weakness should be viewed as an opportunity to accumulate the shares. We maintain our earnings forecast and call, pending further clarification  from TNB’s upcoming results briefing on 12 April.

Source: OSK188

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