Wednesday, 23 May 2012

Yinson Holdings Bhd - OUTPERFORM - 23 May 2012


News    Yinson has fixed the issue price for its private placement of shares at RM1.70/share. 
 Recall that on 6th April 2012, the company had announced that it was proposing a private placement exercise of up to 12m shares.

Comments   The price is similar to the issue price that the company indicated in its initial announcement for the private placement. Hence, there is no significant change to the view mentioned in our previous initiation report (dated 10 April 2012) onthis exercise. 

 The private placement will raise RM20.4m and boost the share base by 6.3% to 200.4m shares (from 188.4m shares).

 Proceeds will mainly be used for acquisition of fixed assets and repayment of its creditors. In our view, the new funds will only be sufficient to fund the company’s port development expenses since another floating production unit requires another sizeable funding exercise. 
 The exercise is expected to be completed by 2QFY12.
 
Outlook   We foresee a 3-year net profit CAGR of 29.7% for the company and like management’s prudent policies with regards to its expansions and project selections. 

 Given its close working relationship with Petrovietnam, we view it as a proxy to floating production opportunities (3 currently) from the burgeoning Vietnamese market

Forecast   Estimated dilution to FY13-15E EPS forecasts will be around 5.1-5.5%, due to the increase in the share base. 

Rating  MAINTAIN OUTPERFORM

Valuation    Our Sum-of-Parts (SOP) fair value is now RM2.25, post placement (RM2.29 pre placement).  Risks   1) Significant reliance on Petrovietnam could result in a lack of jobs if the relationship sours, 2) high capex requirements for the industry could strain the balance sheet and 3) contractual and project execution risks from its floating production unit business.   

Source: Kenanga

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