Monday, 9 April 2012

MMC Corporation (MMC MK, Trading BUY, FV: RM3.70, Last Close: RM2.80)


Our  trip to the MRT visitor center and  along  the alignment of half of the Sungai Buloh-Kajang line was an eye opener as we got to see at eye level, the location of the stations and how the line would run. This rare insight gave us an appreciation of the route’s passage through potentially high traffic areas such as colleges, commercial centers and retail malls. We see the project progressing smoothly once the land acquisition issue is resolved as it is in the interest of all parties that the MRT gets off the ground. We maintain a Trading Buy call on MMC as the news flow on the company will continue to be strong.

An enlightening visit. Last week, we joined a site visit hosted by MMC at one of the Klang Valley Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) visitor centers in TTDI Plaza. The visit was enlightening as the centre was replete with information relating to the rationale for the MRT, its role in enhancing public transport in the Klang Valley as well as the relevant facts and figures on the transport system. Our hosts were En Zamri Hasan, GM Public Relations, KV MRT and En Maslan Othman, MMC’s Director of Projects. After a briefing by En Maslan, we hopped on a bus which took us along the MRT alignment from Sungai Buloh up to the point where the line would go into an underground tunnel in Semantan. Along the way, we were briefed on the location of the stations.

A well planned route. Unlike the LRT which winds its way through some under-utilised stations, the MRT’s route seems well planned indeed, as its stations will be close to locations which will definitely generate heavy traffic such as SEGi College, HELP College, the Section 16 commercial center and Sunway Giza. The appointments of En Zamri and En Maslan on the MMC side of the MMC-Gamuda JV to handle the MRT job is a plus point as both gentlemen were  previously  instrumental in building up Gas Malaysia to the successful company it is today. With an estimated 80% of the contracts likely to be awarded by July, the  MRT’s  progress seems to be  picking up steam, especially with the arrival of the tunnel boring machines (TBM) due by year-end. We see a project of this nature  as  unlikely to be derailed regardless of the outcome of the upcoming General Election.   

Maintain Trading BUY. The emergence of a RM360m law suit filed by some prominent personalities seeking compensation from the Double Track Railway MMC-Gamuda JV for contracts not awarded may raise some questions but we do not see this  action coming to  a quick resolution. Rather, we believe the case may not have an eventual impact on MMC’s bottomline. Meanwhile, there are rumours that the Gas Malaysia IPO may be further delayed and as such, may not meet its 2Q2012 listing deadline although we remain confident it should be listed within 2012. As such, we maintain our Trading Buy call on MMC, with our SOP fair value unchanged at RM3.70.

Source: OSK188

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