News Yesterday, BIPORT announced that it had issued
a Letter of Acceptance (LOA) to Integrated Marine Works Sdn. Bhd. for capital
dredging and the Reclamation Package for Phase 1 of the Samalaju Port.
The contract sum is
RM437m and its duration is staggered at six months, nine months, 12 months and 36 months for Section A, Section B, Section C
and Section D respectively.
Comments This
is the second LOA awarded by BIPORT in relation to works on the Samalaju Port
construction. Recall that in Jun-2012, BIPORT initially awarded a RM194m contract
to TRC for interim works on the port.
We are positive on
the news as we believe that the contract implies that the Samalaju port
construction is proceeding smoothly, of which as at to date, around RM631m has
been committed.
However, given that
BIPORT has yet to finalise the terms and conditions of its concession
agreement, we are maintaining our forecasts and call at this juncture.
We believe that the
agreement will come around the same time that BIPORT finalises its financing
scheme. Recall that in end-2012 it announced its intention to: 1) perform a
private placement of up to 15% of its paidup capital to its major shareholders;
and 2) issue SUKUK bonds (the exact value of which has not been finalised).
We understand that
the cost for the interim and Phase 1 of the Samalaju port is c.RM1.8b. Assuming
the maximum 15% private placement (c.60m shares) and 10%-discounted price of
RM6.31, it would raise cash proceeds of RM380m, leaving another RM1bn to be funded.
We believe this will be satisfied partly by the Sukuk issuance that BPORT is
eyeing. BIPORT had received a grant of RM500m from the federal government
earlier to finance the construction of Samalaju Port.
Outlook The
catalysts for BIPORT’s earnings are: 1) a higher tariff for cargo handling when
the Samalaju Industrial Port starts operation (the initial phase is expected by
2H13) and 2) higher LNG vessel calls and port services when the ninth LNG train
for MLNG is completed by 2016.
Forecast We are
maintaining our earnings estimates at this juncture pending further details on
its corporate exercises and more information from the management.
Rating MAINTAIN MARKET PERFORM
Valuation Our
target price is maintained at RM7.18 based on a DCF valuation (WACC: 9.6%).
Risks (i)
Lower than expected port and bulking division activities and (ii) a higher than
expected CAPEX for the Samalaju port, which could interrupt BIPORT’s steady cashflows.
Source: Kenanga
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