Tuesday 20 November 2012

Dayang Enterprise Holdings - A Perk-up Ahead of Monsoon Slowdown

Dayang’s 9MFY12 net profit beat our and consensus expectations. The  y-o-y and  q-o-q  improvements  were  attributed  to  higher  fleet  utilisation  and  additional  revenue  from  the  charter  of  its  new  workboat,  Dayang  Topaz,  as  well  as  better  numbers  from  its  marine  charter  business.  As  the company’s prospects  remain  promising, we are raising our FY12 and FY13 earnings forecasts by 5.4% and 5.7%  respectively. Reiterate BUY, based on a revised fair value (FV) of RM2.90, pegged  to 13x FY13 EPS.

Above  expectations.  Dayang’s 9MFY12 results came in above our and consensus  expectations,  accounting  for  92.6%  of  our  forecast  and  93.9%  of  consensus’ numbers.  The company recorded revenue growth of 10.9% q-o-q and 11.8% y-o-y while net profit
surged 31.8% q-o-q and 24.0% y-o-y. The stronger-than-expected earnings were mainly  due to an improvement in its marine charter business, which led to a higher profit margin  for  the  quarter  under  review  (2QFY12  EBIT  margin:  32.3%  vs  3QFY12  EBIT  margin:  40.5%).

4QFY12  earnings  may  be  subdued  due  to  monsoon.  We gather that Dayang’s  4QFY12 results may be subdued as the company’s customers usually  slow  down  their  activities  to  prepare  for  the  monsoon  season.  That  said,  we  are  raising  our  FY12  earnings forecast by 5.2% to account for the stronger-than-expected earnings and also  lifting our FY13 earnings forecast by 6.6%, underpinned by better margins.

Orderbook  well  above  RM1.2bn.  The company’s current  orderbook  stands  at  some  RM1.2bn, which will last it at least until 2016. We are cautiously optimistic that Dayang  would soon secure contracts from the Pan Malaysia hook-up and commissioning (HUC)  project  and  expect  it  to  land  more  tenders  for  brownfield  services,  which  are  large  in  value.
Maintain  BUY. We  are  raising  our  FV  from  RM2.75  to  RM2.90  as  we  lift  our  earnings  forecasts for FY12 and FY13, pegged to 13x FY13 EPS. We continue to like Dayang’s  solid business model, which provides recurring income and constant cash flows, and its  solid balance sheet. The stock’s rerating catalysts include: i) awarding of other contracts,  especially  from  the  Pan  Malaysia  (HUC)  project,  ii)  Perdana  becoming  Dayang’s  associate,  and  iii)  lower-than-expected  mobilization  and  demobilization  costs.  We  recently added Dayang as one of our top picks in the oil and gas sector besides Dialog  and SapuraKencana Petroleum.
Source: OSK

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